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  1. Embed this notice
    Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:07:46 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell

    I have, much to my dismay, learned enough about stock trading to explain how to bet against Tesla as an individual, with your own money. Doing this can put downward pressure on Tesla’s stock price and hurt the company. (And if, like me, you’re betting that Tesla is grossly overvalued and #TeslaTakedown will hit it hard, then this might actually make you money — but don’t count on that!)

    I’ll share what I’ve learned in a thread here. I hope it helps others, and I hope people with actual expertise will correct me if I say anything wrong.

    1/

    In conversation about 2 months ago from hachyderm.io permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:13:54 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      Here’s the brief version:

      - You can buy something called an “inverse ETF” to bet against a company.
      - You can lose this way, but not more money than you put in.
      - The inverse ETFs for Tesla are TSLS, TSLQ, and TSLZ.
      - Holding on to them hurts Tesla.
      - To buy them, you need a brokerage account, and it needs to let you buy inverse ETFs.
      - Anyone can open a brokerage account. It’s a nuisance and it takes 3+ days, but it’s ~free.

      2/

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:18:57 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      Like me, you’ve probably heard of shorting stock as a way of betting against a company. Everything I’ve learned about this says: DON’T. This is like learning to snowboard by doing jumps off a rocky cliff. You will hurt yourself badly.

      The details are complicated, but the short of it (pun intended) is that you can actually lose •more• money than you put in. And there’s no limit to how much shorting can put you in debt. Don’t.

      3/

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:25:20 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      Fortunately, there’s this thing called an “inverse ETF” that lets you bet against a company without that risk. Again, details are ridiculously complicated, but basically it acts like a normal stock that moves in opposite proportion to some other stock.

      The important thing here is that is puts downward price pressure on a stock — i.e. it hurts that company’s investors — without the possibility of you losing more money than you put in.

      4/

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:28:16 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      Inverse ETFs are not a good investment choice unless you really, really believe than a company’s stock price is going to go down. And investment guides tell you that you shouldn’t normally hold them for more than a very short period.

      AFAICT, that’s because •running• an inverse ETF is costly, and the people who run them past those costs on to inverstors. So they tend to lose money long term unless the stock •keeps• going down and down and down and down.

      But if you actually think a stock is going to do that, well….

      5/

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:32:32 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      If you think Musk is bad news, if you want to bet against Tesla, and if you have a little money to do that, here’s the tactic:

      - Buy TSLQ, TSLZ, and/or TSLS.
      - Do •not• put in more money than you’re willing to lose. Expect that you’re kissing your money good-bye when you buy those ETFs. If your bet pays off, lucky you! But don’t spend your life savings on this, for heaven’s sake.
      - Hold, hold, hold until Musk is completely kicked out of either Tesla or the government.

      6/

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:34:17 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      If like me you need to open a brokerage account, Fidelity or Charles Schwab seem like credible choices.

      If you already have a retirement account, you might be able to open an brokerage account there too and save yourself minor hassle — but make sure they actually like you buy inverse ETFs (TIAA does not, for example).

      If you have a SEP-IRA, it may let you trade inverse ETFs without needing a separate brokerage account (but see warning above about not betting money you can’t afford to lose).

      7/

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:36:19 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      If you open a brokerage account, expect minor hassle spread over 3+ days. You have to fill out forms online, verify your bank account, transfer money in, yada yada. They walk you through the process. Just expect lots of waiting.

      I personally do not trust the thing where you log into your bank account through the brokerage’s web site. Yikes. I used direct deposts to verify my account, which took 3 days but feels like a lot less of a security YIKES to me.

      8/

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:37:57 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Bebadefabo

      @bebadefabo
      Buy the inverse ETF; do •••NOT••• short. Otherwise yes what you said.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Bebadefabo (bebadefabo@mastodon.social)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:37:58 JST Bebadefabo Bebadefabo
      in reply to

      @inthehands Short the stock. Smear dog shit on the windshield wipers and under the door handles on the swastikars. It's a winning combination #TeslaTakedown #WallStBets #Debillionaritization

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Advanced Persistent Teapot (http_error_418@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:38:37 JST Advanced Persistent Teapot Advanced Persistent Teapot
      in reply to

      @inthehands that's an AW HELL NO from me, Jim

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:42:55 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      Once you have your brokerage account:

      - Transfer that small “I’m willing to lose this much” amount into your brokerage account
      - Buy TSLZ, TSLQ, and TSLS.
      - Hold on to it. Don’t even pay attention to it going up and down unless you’re a glutton for punishment.
      - (And maybe just do •not• do any of this if you know you have a gambling addiction. You will be tempted to put in more than you should.)

      9/

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:45:59 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      I put in just a few hundred dollars, an amount I’m wiling to sacrifice. I think Tesla’s in deep shit and this might actually make money, but it’s a moonshot.

      Regardless of whether I personally make money, this signals to the market that I think Tesla is overvalued and likely in serious trouble. That hurts Musk, whose power and wealth is directly tied up in the huge amount of Tesla stock he owns — and in people believing he’s some kind of magical golden child who will turn Tesla into a money unicorn with his galaxy brain.

      10/

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:48:55 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      And yes, Tesla investors are gradually starting to understand that maybe Musk is trouble. Like the poor schmuck in this article:

      https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2025/mar/20/tesla-musk-trump-work-cybertruck-recall-dan-ives-protests

      ❝Ives said Musk needed to announce formally that he was going to balance running Doge with being Tesla’s chief executive. Doing so would “dissipate” the heat around Tesla and avoid permanent brand damage, although there would still be a “scar”, he said. “Investors need to see Musk take a step back and balance his Doge and Tesla CEO roles,” Ives said.❞

      “Formally announce…balance…dissipate….” Oh, poor spring child, you are just beginning to dimly compherend the hot water you are in.

      11/

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:52:18 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      In my ignorance, it seems like a large number of people buying a small amounts of these inverse ETFs really could make a difference.

      The inverse ETFs •do• actually drive down the stock price, AIUI: more shares of the inverse ETFs → more Tesla stock shorted → price of Tesla driven down. That directly takes money from Musk’s pockets. And it makes Tesla stock riskier and risker for the big funds who’ve been buying it as a supposedly safe bet.

      12/

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:53:27 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      So, if you want to help, if you have time and a little money and are interested but daunted…well, ask questions! I’m no expert, but I’m happy to talk about my own experience, and hopefully others here can help too.

      /end

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      David Andersen (dave_andersen@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:54:05 JST David Andersen David Andersen
      in reply to

      @inthehands There's also the option of doing it the old-fashioned way: Sell short and buy a protective call. It's fairly straightforward and you can do it on brokerages like Vanguard that don't let you trade in the inverse ETFs.

      Example:
      Sell 100 shares TSLA short @ $235
      Buy 1 protective call at $300, let's say for 7/18/2025 at $15 (which costs you $1500)

      Your loss is now capped: The call gives you the right to buy 100 shares of TSLA for $300, so if it goes over, you sell the call and close the short. Anywhere >= $300, you have lost $65+$15 = $80 per share, or $8000.

      Anywhere over $220, you're still losing money.

      Anywhere under $220, you're making money.

      It exposes the other risk of shorting, of course: If you want to stay short, you have to keep rolling forward your protective call, so if the stock stays flat, it's going to cost you something like $1500 per 4 months. But that risk is there with the inverse ETFs too, it's just more clear here _why_ you're losing money.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink

      Attachments

      1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: www.money.it
        Trading, Economia e Finanza | Money.it
        Money.it propone notizie di Economia e Finanza, Fisco e Lavoro, formazione e analisi per il Trading Online.
    • Embed this notice
      aburka 🫣 (aburka@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:55:44 JST aburka 🫣 aburka 🫣
      in reply to

      @inthehands what is the difference between the three?

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
      Paul Cantrell repeated this.
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:57:29 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Paul

      @nhpaul
      In my ignorance — not an expert!! — I think that if you could figure out exactly how much of your money your mutual funds have in TSLA and then buy exactly that much TSLS, then yes, it would kind-of-sort-of cancel out the good that the mutual fund is doing Tesla by holding their stock, at least in market signal terms. But it would also lose you more money than if the fund simply sold their TSLA and gave it to you as cash, because ETFs are inefficient.

      In practice, this is probably more money than you’re willing to lose, and also it’s hard to figure out exactly how much TSLA they have and near impossible to adjust that on a day-to-day basis. Better to just pressure your fund to sell TSLA.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink

      Attachments


    • Embed this notice
      Paul (nhpaul@sigmoid.social)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:57:30 JST Paul Paul
      in reply to

      @inthehands I have been wishing there was a way to easily remove Tesla from my investments (mostly index funds), would this effectively do that?

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:59:30 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Adam Shostack :donor: :rebelverified:

      @adamshostack
      Exactly so.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Adam Shostack :donor: :rebelverified: (adamshostack@infosec.exchange)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 02:59:31 JST Adam Shostack :donor: :rebelverified: Adam Shostack :donor: :rebelverified:
      in reply to

      @inthehands Also: realize that this is a bad investment but may be a good or fun gamble.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:00:22 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • David Andersen

      @dave_andersen
      Go for it if you understand it! For an ignoramus like me, buying and holding the ETF is well worth the cost overhead that entails.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      David Andersen (dave_andersen@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:02:01 JST David Andersen David Andersen
      in reply to

      @inthehands Yup, that's why those funds are popuar! 🙂

      The major advantage of doing it yourself is you get to choose your upside/downside curve to match your investment hypothesis and risk tolerance, but it's probably true that for most people going for something that doesn't take active attention or understanding options (though these are pretty simple ones) is best.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:03:40 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • aburka 🫣

      @aburka
      TSLS = 1x inverse, moves exactly opposite Tesla

      TSLQ and TSLZ = 2x inverse: if Tesla loses 50% in a day, they gain 100%. And if Tesla •gains• 50% in a day, well, you lose everything AFAICT. These have higher overhead costs, because the people who run them have to juggle more knives. So:

      - These double the impact your money has on Tesla’s share price.
      - If Tesla goes down a •lot•, then you make out like a bandit.
      - But under normal conditions, you lose money on them.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:07:54 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Jess👾

      Several replies also mention options trading, such as this from @JessTheUnstill, as a way to manage your bet against Tesla more closely:
      https://infosec.exchange/@JessTheUnstill/114196064404618244

      AFAICT, this is a great thing if you have time and mental energy to devote for this and are a glutton for learning and micromanagement. Like…if you’re the sort of person who regularly tries out new Linux distros just for the hell of it, this might be for you!

      If (like me) you want to go through the setup process once and then let the money do the work for you, the inverse ETFs seem like the way to go.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink

      Attachments

      1. No result found on File_thumbnail lookup.
        Jess👾 (@JessTheUnstill@infosec.exchange)
        from Jess👾
        @inthehands@hachyderm.io There's also "Put Options" https://www.investopedia.com/articles/trading/092613/difference-between-short-selling-and-put-options.asp
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:13:21 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Greg Sullivan

      @gregwardo
      Yay! Hopefully not more than you’re willing to lose. :)

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Greg Sullivan (gregwardo@c.im)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:13:22 JST Greg Sullivan Greg Sullivan
      in reply to

      @inthehands I didn’t wait and just used my phone to buy a bunch of TSLZ!

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Greg Sullivan (gregwardo@c.im)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:13:24 JST Greg Sullivan Greg Sullivan
      in reply to

      @inthehands I am doing this as soon as I am in front of my computer! Thank you!

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Emile Snyder (esnyder@mastodon.social)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:18:36 JST Emile Snyder Emile Snyder
      • Matthew Lyon

      @mattly @inthehands just for us less sophisticated readers, the reason shorting leads to unbounded risk is that...

      I borrow X shares of stock with an agreement to return them at some specific future time. I then sell them at the current price. Then I wait for the price to go down. When I think it's bottomed out I buy them at the new price. If they only go up, I'm forced to pay an arbitrarily high price to return the shares at the end of the loan period?

      Do I have that right?

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:18:36 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Emile Snyder
      • Matthew Lyon

      @esnyder @mattly
      I’ll let Matthew weigh in on the details here, which I don’t know either, but yes that is the correct conclusion: you end up having to buy stock at whatever the price is, no matter how high, even if that puts you in personal debt.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Jess👾 (jesstheunstill@infosec.exchange)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:30:18 JST Jess👾 Jess👾
      in reply to

      @inthehands Certainly - and I'm not really into any of this sort of speculation stuff. I just toss money into index funds and let it do its thing. My personal opinion is that I'd rather toss spare money at mutual aid to directly help actual people in need than bet against billionaires, but resistance takes all sorts of shapes, and I'm not going to say mine is the only correct way.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:30:18 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Jess👾

      @JessTheUnstill
      Well, either/and! I also put a lot more of my money into people and community orgs doing work on the ground than I did into this inverse ETF experiment, but it just felt good to be able to land this one punch directly. And right now I think it’s super important to be landing punches •immediately• and also be building new levels of resilience for the long term. So…yes and!

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:30:52 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • PaulDavisTheFirst

      @PaulDavisTheFirst
      Yes, thank you!

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      PaulDavisTheFirst (pauldavisthefirst@fosstodon.org)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:30:53 JST PaulDavisTheFirst PaulDavisTheFirst
      in reply to
      • aburka 🫣

      @inthehands @aburka in the first point, do you mean "minus costs" ?

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Shafik Yaghmour (shafik@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:36:26 JST Shafik Yaghmour Shafik Yaghmour
      in reply to

      @inthehands Just keep in mind they are not meant to be held long term: https://www.fool.com/terms/i/inverse-etf/

      Which folks may not care about in this case but important to know.

      They may also not be very tax efficient. I don't understand all the details here but worth keeping in mind. Again, folks may not care.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink

      Attachments


    • Embed this notice
      John Anderson (quizzicus@mastodon.online)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:39:04 JST John Anderson John Anderson
      in reply to
      • aburka 🫣

      @inthehands @aburka What would happen with these if TSLA were delisted?

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:39:04 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • aburka 🫣
      • John Anderson

      @quizzicus @aburka
      I have absolutely no idea.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:40:27 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Shafik Yaghmour

      @shafik
      Yeah, I hear that “not to be held long term” a lot. Per downthread, AFAICT there are only two reasons for this: (1) ETFs have very high overhead, so the stock has to go down a •lot• for them to pay off, and (2) who expects a stock to keep going down long term??

      But, again AFAICT, if you are willing to bet on steep long-term decline, then there’s nothing wrong with holding them long term. It’s usually a losing bet, but it’s not illegal or something.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Shafik Yaghmour (shafik@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 03:45:54 JST Shafik Yaghmour Shafik Yaghmour
      in reply to

      @inthehands I would prefer giving folks more details and then at least there is full disclosure.

      I don't think you did it purposely but I felt like you glanced over some details that were worth pointing out.

      Especially the tax side of things b/c that may not become apparent till next year and it could be an unpleasant surprise for some folks who have not traded much.

      Again, it all depends on your goals, so it may not matter to many folks.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Hasani Hunter (hasani@my-spaces.social)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 05:17:08 JST Hasani Hunter Hasani Hunter
      in reply to

      @inthehands the one thing that gives me pause is the amount of mutual funds and 401ks (not to mention pension funds) that have massive exposure to TSLA. When the TSLA bubble pops, the sound will be deafening

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 05:18:00 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Hasani Hunter

      @hasani
      I see hopeful signs that some of the biggies are quietly letting the air out of the balloon slowly, but…I fear you’re right.

      Then again, what happens to retirement funds if the country falls the rest of the way into authoritarianism, well.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 05:36:11 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Eric Beckman
      • Hasani Hunter

      @ERBeckman @hasani
      …and 52-week low is still something like 8-10x what the price should be on company fundamentals, leaving aside the brand going internationally toxic.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Eric Beckman (erbeckman@historians.social)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 05:36:13 JST Eric Beckman Eric Beckman
      in reply to
      • Hasani Hunter

      @inthehands @hasani Yeah, and $tsla is still well above it's 52 week low and JP Morgan target price.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 05:38:06 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • bubbajet

      @bubbajet
      Accurate, probably

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      bubbajet (bubbajet@mastodon.world)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 05:38:07 JST bubbajet bubbajet
      in reply to

      @inthehands This seems like it’ll be just as effective as donating to the DNC, but it’ll feel better and you won’t get spam texts forever. I like it.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 05:43:38 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • xinit ☕
      • aburka 🫣

      @xinit @aburka
      I mean, I’m not sure how my thread could could make it any clearer that you should not expect to see that money again if you buy and hold.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      xinit ☕ (xinit@mastodon.coffee)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 05:43:39 JST xinit ☕ xinit ☕
      in reply to
      • aburka 🫣

      @inthehands "- But under normal conditions, you lose money on them."

      This part's very important. Most docs I have seen on inverse ETP/ETF/ETN say that this is something that you buy *for a day* as a short term bet, otherwise you get into something about "compounding risk"

      So, holding long term might work to push the stock down, but you will tend to lose money if you're not in and out relatively quick.

      Definitely something to buy the morning TSLA announces earnings, I think.

      @aburka

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 05:49:29 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Jess👾

      @JessTheUnstill
      And also just because it’s important and worth mentioning!

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Jess👾 (jesstheunstill@infosec.exchange)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 05:49:30 JST Jess👾 Jess👾
      in reply to

      @inthehands Yeah, mostly just mentioned it as I don't have any experience in protest investing.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Michael Busch (michael_w_busch@mastodon.online)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 06:23:59 JST Michael Busch Michael Busch
      in reply to
      • Hasani Hunter

      @hasani @inthehands

      The managers of my retirement fund have sent around notices lately about how they are acting to reduce the risk to everyone's money during the current crisis.

      Including specific discussions of Nvidia and Tesla.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 06:23:59 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Michael Busch
      • Hasani Hunter

      @michael_w_busch @hasani

      👀👀 And what did they say? Anything intelligible?

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      0x575446, Fifth Columnist (0x575446@mastodon.social)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 06:24:22 JST 0x575446, Fifth Columnist 0x575446, Fifth Columnist
      in reply to

      @inthehands Just tossed the $28 I still had kicking around from the "free starter stock" at Robinhood at this. Thanks for the heads up.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 06:24:22 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • 0x575446, Fifth Columnist

      @0x575446
      Perfect.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Michael Busch (michael_w_busch@mastodon.online)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 06:32:28 JST Michael Busch Michael Busch
      in reply to
      • Hasani Hunter

      @inthehands @hasani

      Paraphrasing:

      "No, we will not try to short these stocks. That would be irresponsible."

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 06:32:28 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Michael Busch
      • Hasani Hunter

      @michael_w_busch @hasani

      Fair, and surely correct on their part! But have they sold? Will they?

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 09:35:19 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • sabik

      @sabik
      Tesla shares account for some absurdly large portion of his wealth — I forget the exact percentage, but it’s large, like almost half-ish? — to the point where he might not be able to handle the amount of debt he’s carrying.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      sabik (sabik@rants.au)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 09:35:20 JST sabik sabik
      in reply to

      @inthehands
      Except Musk seems to be trying to get money out of Tesla in the form of CEO compensation, not shares?

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 09:50:23 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      After this thread, I just feel like I should say:

      - Please don’t go overboard. This is direct action, and symbolic, and a moonshot — not a Sensible Investment.

      - Please do not become a day trader because of me. It’s a fool’s game. If you’re fortunate enough to have some retirement money, put it in mutual funds. If you have money to invest, get an investment advisor. Please don’t let a brokerage account you created to punch Musk become a gateway drug for you to lose your money gambling on stocks! I’d feel very bad.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Friday, 21-Mar-2025 09:52:09 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to

      - It’s nice to be able to do something with money if you have money, but please don’t let it start there. We all need to get in the habit of taking action, •showing up• for things early and often. Finding a #TeslaTakedown event near you is a great place to start: https://www.teslatakedown.com It’s fun!

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink

      Attachments

      1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: static.wixstatic.com
        Tesla Takedown | Take action at Tesla showrooms everywhere.
        The stakes couldn’t be higher. No one is coming to save us—not politicians, not the media.
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Saturday, 22-Mar-2025 00:01:45 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • John Breen

      @jab01701mid
      OK…as long as it is responsible! I think there will be a temptation to just keep trickling more and more money into this, past the point of acceptable loss. As long as we are all clear about where our personal limit is….

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      John Breen (jab01701mid@mastodon.social)'s status on Saturday, 22-Mar-2025 00:01:46 JST John Breen John Breen
      in reply to

      @inthehands Responsibly, I decided to add just $100.00 more of TSLZ and TSLQ to my portfolio, just to keep the scent of impending brand-death fresh...

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Ben Cohen (airspeedswift@mastodon.social)'s status on Saturday, 22-Mar-2025 00:51:28 JST Ben Cohen Ben Cohen
      in reply to

      @inthehands Beware. These funds are not designed for buy and hold. They are short-term instruments only. When the underlier goes up, they go down by _more_ due to the way they are implemented, due to the cost of downside protection.

      This means unless a stock plunges suddenly after you buy, you generally lose money over time. Mostly stocks descend via ups and downs each day, and when the ups cost you, that compounds to a net loss over time.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Saturday, 22-Mar-2025 00:51:28 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Ben Cohen

      @airspeedswift
      Yeah, I don’t really know how my thread could make it any clearer that this is not an investment strategy, and you should expect to lose the money you put in if you hold.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Saturday, 22-Mar-2025 01:15:17 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Ben Cohen

      @airspeedswift
      I mean, fair

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Ben Cohen (airspeedswift@mastodon.social)'s status on Saturday, 22-Mar-2025 01:15:18 JST Ben Cohen Ben Cohen
      in reply to

      @inthehands I mean, you may as well just mail the check to Citadel instead.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      John Breen (jab01701mid@mastodon.social)'s status on Saturday, 22-Mar-2025 08:12:43 JST John Breen John Breen
      in reply to

      @inthehands Did not realize Rupert Murdoch is on the Tesla board, just exercised and sold $13M worth of options a few days ago.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink

      Attachments


      1. https://files.mastodon.social/media_attachments/files/114/202/589/373/019/491/original/73bba00448119d2c.png
      Paul Cantrell repeated this.
    • Embed this notice
      Mary Austin VOTED 4 HARRIS! (maryaustinbooks@mstdn.social)'s status on Saturday, 22-Mar-2025 08:19:44 JST Mary Austin VOTED 4 HARRIS! Mary Austin VOTED 4 HARRIS!
      in reply to
      • John Breen

      @jab01701mid @inthehands
      James Murdoch, Rupert's relatively left leaning and hence estranged son

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Dave Fenichel (nek@hear-me.social)'s status on Sunday, 23-Mar-2025 03:13:19 JST Dave Fenichel Dave Fenichel
      in reply to

      @inthehands
      "a sell candidate"
      https://www.fool.com/investing/2025/03/22/tesla-buy-sell-or-hold/

      Right now, people with a lot of capital and market power seem to be working very hard with microtrades no doubt, to keep the inflated valuation artificially stable at $249

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink

      Attachments


    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Sunday, 23-Mar-2025 03:14:41 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Dave Fenichel

      @nek
      See also:

      https://stocks.apple.com/AvUqFbvQEQu6-RAa1n7cHhw

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Dave Fenichel (nek@hear-me.social)'s status on Sunday, 23-Mar-2025 03:26:29 JST Dave Fenichel Dave Fenichel
      in reply to

      @inthehands
      It should give a lot more people pause and lower their confidence in a free/fair market, to see the latest apparent propping-up. After all the volatility why is the value holding so ridiculously steady at the inflated $249 price today? It couldn't have anything to do with Musk's powerful new possession of every citizen's private financial records. Good thing conspiracy nuts are rare.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Sunday, 23-Mar-2025 03:26:29 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Dave Fenichel

      @nek
      I think it’s pretty hard to untangle causality here. There are a •lot• of wildly different reasons people could be propping up the stock: still truly believe in Musk as genius, belief that Trump admin graft will juice profits, various kinds of market manipulation by Musk’s own circle, optimism about Tesla’s cryptocurrency entanglements, the •real• money buying control of Musk, etc etc.

      Almost impossible to tease out which of those things are and aren’t really happening. But as you say, •none• of them offer much confidence in the way the world works.

      In conversation about 2 months ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Saturday, 05-Apr-2025 07:06:39 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Dave Fenichel

      @nek
      Sorry not sorry

      In conversation about a month ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Dave Fenichel (nek@hear-me.social)'s status on Saturday, 05-Apr-2025 07:06:40 JST Dave Fenichel Dave Fenichel
      in reply to

      @inthehands Hey I thought you said I was going to *lose* money!!

      In conversation about a month ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Paul Cantrell (inthehands@hachyderm.io)'s status on Sunday, 11-May-2025 08:42:20 JST Paul Cantrell Paul Cantrell
      in reply to
      • Gabriel Pettier

      @tshirtman
      The market can stay irrational a lot longer than you can stay solvent, as the old saying goes

      In conversation about 9 days ago permalink
    • Embed this notice
      Gabriel Pettier (tshirtman@mas.to)'s status on Sunday, 11-May-2025 08:42:21 JST Gabriel Pettier Gabriel Pettier
      in reply to

      @inthehands Well, i’m glad i only took 1 TSLS share, and that you said it was not a sensible investment 😆 I’ll keep holding to see how it goes, but since that by order, it’s down about 40% 😬

      In conversation about 9 days ago permalink

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