I think a lot of people thought these things were just constantly increasing and guaranteed rather than increasing complexity with decreasing returns which without something special would result in a plateau.
Many have hoped that "AI" is that something special, but the level of base complexity in LLMs is so high that it isn't a silver bullet.
@sickburnbro@PraxisOfEvil This is something I've considered quite a bit, that a financial/societal system which is based on endless growth (the ideology of a cancer cell) would have to have some sort of pseudo-rationale behind it. In this case it looks like it was the assumption that productivity would endlessly increase to catch up and there would be predictable, periodic tech discoveries to help provide boosts and 'lift all boats'
If you watch enough stuff from like the 50s-70s .. silly stuff like videos that GM made about creating a new car, things like that. ( I think I remember watching one about the creation of mid-engine car ) .. that sense of absolute optimism was everywhere.
I've always quietly wondered about that (because admittedly, I'm not great at macro economics) - why is permanent growth seen as desirable? It is self-evidently unsustainable.
Video games like minecraft model compount interest in how grain is grown - put x seeds in get x*1.05 seeds out at time t+20. Most people will get it that if you want to be growing 40 wheat you need some time, and you'll start getting more "free" seeds as time goes on.
@TrevorGoodchild This is why I really don't like financial tricks like ARMs. In order to enter a contract like that with full consent you need to understand not only compound interest, but market dynamics and history as well.
You are basically betting, which packaging as a **HOME** loan, is immoral.
@BattleDwarfGimli@TrevorGoodchild@Hertz@PraxisOfEvil I don't think compound loans are evil, because if you are running a business and using loans in a business you already have to calculate things like holding costs and other things which compound.
The problem is the application of these things to consumers.
@sickburnbro There is a reason mortgages are structured the way they are, and that amortization exists in the first place. Getting a 'haha not-really' mortgage is idiotic and those that sell them are indistinguishable from Tony Soprano
Being that I only understand the basics, and being that the following, "The problem is the application of these things to consumers." is about all I really apply it to, is probably the reason I feel the way I do.
"Hey so I'm going to charge you interest on this loan and as time and interest accrue, I'm going to charge interest against that as well, essentially charging interest against money you never borrowed, mkay?"
If you have a 30 year loan and don't refinance and don't miss payments, the whole thing is pretty moot, as @TrevorGoodchild mentions. You know how much you are borrowing, you know how much interest they want, the schedule for repayment can be calculated; You pay more on interest in the beginning, less in the end; Result is same monthly payment for 30 years.
It gets very perverse when credit cards get involved, because people don't realize that it works the same way and has a STUPID rate for balances carried.
@dubbub@BattleDwarfGimli@TrevorGoodchild@Hertz@PraxisOfEvil@sickburnbro I could get a mortgage and have a house now, which I pay the cost of over many years, or no house now but no interest. You may think the latter is more moral somehow, but it means renting which is paying for not having a house. You might contend families could loan, or a good state could give loans, or...but that is not going to be the case.
Loans are a mechanism for moving money through time (see infographic I made). The problems of usury are in people making poor decisions, not in the ability to pay a premium for future funds. If the interest does not compound, the fixed cost must higher and the duration of the loan lower to net to zero.
If I give a man a loan, I expect payment in excess of my principal - otherwise I would simply rent that the money was sought for. Anyone who thinks money works otherwise probably doesn't have much money or is consumed in debt.
Present money is always worth more than future money, plus the risk of default and other costs.
Debt is a powerful tool to do things now too expensive to afford by deferring the costs into the future - the problem is people who have no ability to make long term decisions being given such a dangerous tool. Most business and home ownership would be impossible without it.
There is no free lunch when it comes to finance short of a nationalized banking scheme in a high trust ethnostate, which would require a whole lot of expulsion and executions to achieve.
Had we obeyed God we wouldn't have this problem. Sadly usury was always a tool of the powerful, used to finance wars, elections, and as a phantom tax, so maybe we need a world where usury isn't possible or necessarily anymore, and to take to heart Augustine's just war doctrine.
But the entire game is designed to avoid people looking at that cost and stretching their budget, because the system WANTS people to load themselves up to their eyeballs with debt.
Right now the options that you are presented are basically "it has to be this way or the economy will collapse" or "business is evil, communism is the only solution"
The rate is a combination of the market and the risk. If I can get 4% putting money in a savings account, I will ask more to lend it out - if the savings account paid 8%, I would adjust upwards my ask because of the alternatives to giving out a loan.
As to why the rates are X or Y, that is something not even economist agree on.
And for those loans that are riskier, say on a card which rapidly loses value versus a home that does not, or a unsecured loan or credit card with no collateral, the rate reflects the risk.
People should not be taking on debt unless they have a very good reason to. That people do anyways reflects either they are not wise people or they have been put into bad situations. The latter should be fixed, the former cannot.
I don't have a problem with the concept of interest. The lender needs a reason, and the lendee needs incentive to pay. I get that. It is usurious rates - 8-30% interest - that I have issue with. It is clearly cynical, abusive, greedy, and hateful behavior - which is why it is practically the national sport of judaism.
The gold standard isn't needed if the government is disciplined and conversely if the government isn't disciplined, it does nothing, i.e. what you, well *we*, want is less a gold standard, than a government that can be run on a gold standard.
look at the deflationary nightmare of Japan where everything gets "cheaper" and salaries keep falling and falling for an example of what insufficient inflation looks like
@dubbub@TrevorGoodchild@Hertz@brigrammer@BattleDwarfGimli@PraxisOfEvil@sickburnbro They could have handled the space program, the war, or, ugh, the outbreak of nigger-love, but not all three. Arguably the oil reserve currency status brought more power to the empire than holding on to some 19th century currency standard ever would, and it also ensured that debt spending would continue unabated since debt generation is all but required for a reserve currency in order to make sure there is enough liquidity to conduct transactions in it around the globe.
Here comes my belief that I don't see talked about often enough, that the Vietnam war was fabricated precisely to abolish the gold standard. Which is also why the US army wasn't allowed into NV - >"to avoid a repeat of Korea" is the reason given by historians, but a repeat of Korea would've aligned with the US' war goals, and surpassed the actual outcome.
Nixon had to end the gold standard precisely because a decade of proliferate spending meant that the government was unable to defend the standard. We see something similar happening today where the government is repeatedly abusing the underpinnings of the currency with no care for what will happen when it breaks. (For instance, some robot historian will say the dollar crashed in 2030 because the Saudis walked away from the Dollar-Oil agreement, when in actuality they walked away because of weakened faith in the dollar).
People point to a single time in history as if it is the norm. Houses were small and cheap because of lots of dead folks, a lot of surplus production after the end of the war economy, and the government creating tons of debt we are paying for today.
> It's from the Bible.
It still does not match me. I am ambition and anxiety made flesh.
@brigrammer@BattleDwarfGimli@TrevorGoodchild@Hertz@PraxisOfEvil@sickburnbro No, debt enables the jew to pit the competing poor into a no-limits bidding war for base necessities. That's the reason why a blue-collar worker could buy a house debt-free with a few years of savings in the 60s, but now can't anymore.
>This very statement offends me at a spiritual level It's from the Bible.
@brigrammer@BattleDwarfGimli@TrevorGoodchild@Hertz@PraxisOfEvil@sickburnbro People lived well enough for the longest time before mortgages, and I know plenty of people who bought real estate without loaning a cent. Rather than facilitate home ownership loans have driven prices through the roof, and as is with all usury have traded short-term benefit (having the home sooner) for long-term detriment (paying it off much, much longer). The solution to loans, and something modernites struggle to understand, is "be content with your wages".
@dubbub@BattleDwarfGimli@TrevorGoodchild@Hertz@PraxisOfEvil@sickburnbro How does this work in America where people are trying to escape the ever encroaching nigger menace? Or to buy things like machines for their businesses? In the past, people did not change social class except after multiple generations.
Debt enables the competent but poor to escape poverty by using their future earnings today. I came from a poor family and if I was shackled to my wages I wouldn't be doing well. It also mean the incompetent wealthy can be put to ruin by their own folly.
> "be content with your wages"
This very statement offends me at a spiritual level, I was not made for such a sentiment and my soul screams at it with wrath and the threat of action.
the gold standard was removed because it slows the velocity of money and puts a severe cap on the size of the government AND businesses (and the GS even constrains things like global population size)
The problem is that people don't want gold as a currency. Gold as a currency is horrible. It's heavy and inconvenient to prove it's valid.
What most people want is a currency which is backed by gold, which just means they don't want the currency agent inflating the currency for their benefit.
True, but there tends to be an intrinsic stability to the value of gold, regardless of what its actual, demonstrable value is.
There's probably an argument to be made for a new standard that is based on a unit of energy or something, something that has true intrinsic value.
But gold has worked for thousands of years as a stable currency. Whoever wants it replaced with something else, or even nothing else, has the burden of explaining how the new system is better for the people using it.
@dubbub@TrevorGoodchild@Hertz@brigrammer@BattleDwarfGimli@PraxisOfEvil@sickburnbro None of those had anywhere near the scope of the petro-dollar. One of the ones that came the closest, and is interestingly not on that list, was the old Reichsbank marks which became a de facto "global currency" in Europe due to Germany paying off their reparations with them. Contrary to popular belief, the currency blew up not (directly) because of the reparations but because Germany was able to print up infinite debt while suffering only comparatively minor issues in comparison...until the whole scheme fell apart 🙄
@Paleface@BattleDwarfGimli@Hertz@PraxisOfEvil@TrevorGoodchild@dubbub@sickburnbro my dude, when California made its GPR law to require deleting customer data which will never actually happen, it took my client months and millions of dollars to comply with deleting a couple of fields on demand (I spent a week screaming and swearing and wanting to kill the rich faggot who got the law passed because of his personal beef with Facebook)
I have seen companies nope out of state over minor regulatory changes because the cost of compliance and implementation were more than tens of millions in lost revenue
this would be changing the entire business model, revenue calculations, writing entirly new contracts, - oh, and nobody can actual propose what this would look like despite insistence that it is doable
go look on a mortgage calculator for a home loan, chose you numbers, keep the term and calculate the sheet - now explain how you want that done differently
I have found everything seems easy as long as you don't have to do it yourself
No, the concept of banks is not predicated on compound interest, just like public infrastructure is not predicated on banks, just like loans are not restricted by savings deposits.
Precisely zero of those things depend on usury or compound interest. The system would not collapse if it was banned, but some rent-seekers with funny noses would definitely jump out of tall financial district buildings.
So unlike you tried to imply, the money does not come from savings deposits. Savers will be fine. They'll have myriad options, including participating in non-predatory lending schemes.
By the way, fractional reserve is also largely a fiction today, easily circumvented by creative accounting (i.e.: pilpul).
can you define one where the depositor and the lender get the same ROI yet somehow it is better for the lendee?
I keep hearing people say they would do something better without saying what that is but being rebuffed when I say that the ROI for those issuing the loans is what people are willing to put money into
No we don't, because none of that requires compound interest - or even interest - to exist. You're trapped within a made-up financial framework designed to benefit unproductive rent-seekers. And lol at "fixed by the market". Lmao, even.
I have money in savings, I get paid interest to keep it - when the saving accounts paid next to nothing I didn't bother keeping money in the banks and put it in other things
when people act like this behavior, which is rational and optimal, is evil it means they are operating from an adversarial position
you don't like people who have savings, you think that having savings is immoral - I don't know why, but I don't see how there could be a productive conversation with somebody who views savers as doing evil to debtors
@Paleface@BattleDwarfGimli@Hertz@PraxisOfEvil@TrevorGoodchild@dubbub@sickburnbro the loan money comes from fractional reserves, the bank pays me to not spend my money because they get an arbitrage on the money I deposit from the fed, who pay this rate because the money sunk in the account slows the speed of currency in the system
The compound interest scheme is just one of many ways to model for future value, but if you made it illegal the same parameters would be reshuffled into something that outputs roughly the same return on investment.
If you mandate the return to be lower, then the loans dry up as the money is better spent elsewhere.
Yes, it's just one of many ways to model for future value, which just happens to be the most predatory one and the most beneficial to the lender at the expense of not only the borrower but of the well-being of society itself. And if you eliminate usury and all other forms of financial rent-seeking hiding under other esoteric formats by law then that "elsewhere" will be limited to productive activities, which is an absolute positive.
As a bonus we get a few hangings as examples are made when they inevitably try to circumvent the spirit of the law using pilpul.
then you get rid of most home ownership, business creation, the ability to create things like factories, and so on, and the alternatives to these loans are more complex, involved, and expensive to service and price
the arguments boil down to it being bad because it costs lendees to much, and it is bad a priori
I have already explained that the cost to lendees is fixed by the market, a loan with extra steps would cost the same if not more because people will only loan if they get enough of a return
the claim that it is bad a priori sounds a little hollow when the government is killing millions to spread gay butt sex and child rape around the world and demanding the "right" to mass child sacrifice
The math of debt is algebraic, you can move the variables from one side of the equals to the other by an offsetting operation but only changing the parameters has an effect on the total.
If houses cost too much, you *could* try to make houses cheaper. Or if too many people want them, you *could* reduce the number who can. Hell, just one mass casualty event or chemical leak can really reduce the price of a place.
Improving the economy and reducing immigration and expelling illegals all would help the cost of homes. Simply paying the credit card in full each month means paying no interest at all. Opening a banking account instead of using a check casher means no fees. Etc.
But people are blaming the equation for total and ignoring the parameters because those aren't as fun to talk about.
The equation is a made up one, dude. It's not the only possible way to lend money. A willing government could easily forbid it with little impact on the real economy (would devastate finance parasites, tho, I'll play a tiny violin in their memory).
You're arguing from within the system. There are plenty of ways to compensate for time preference without resorting to compound interest; of course the end of compound interest on loans would necessarily mean the end of compound interest on deposits.
Fiat will collapse, by design. The sooner people ween themselves off the better they will fare, that's why RWs have been saying buy commodities for years. Nobody in the developed world will die from the fiat collapse, but many will die from the resulting racial turmoil.
@dubbub@doctorsex@BattleDwarfGimli@EvilSandmich@Hertz@PraxisOfEvil@TrevorGoodchild@brigrammer@sickburnbro No, it won't collapse by design. Fiat just means its value is decided by the authority. Fiat can be extremely stable, just as you can see over history. Germany had a fiat currency... Credit/debt based economics are extremely good and useful, especially in the digital age. There is no need to have exploitative rape of the people in that system. The central bank or state issuing currency and controlling the money supply is fine.
I don't think you understand how much in society hinges on a financialized and debt-centric economy. >oh well it's good if society collapses That all sounds cool until you've got a cholera infection and are trading scavenged funko pops for clean water.
The irony is also not lost that you've got the symbol of national socialism in your username while talking about how much you love the gold standard.
>Yes, because people can't figure out how to exchange goods & services without the fiat jew. If we lose the fiat jew water treatment plants will literally vanish. Is/ought failure. What I'm suggesting here is that a rapid collapse will be very bad. Now, there isn't really a moral dimension to saying "billions must die", but it there is a difference between just saying it and accepting it. All I'm hearing here is "everything needs to be destroyed and an incalculable number of people need to die for my niche economic system" >While Hitler didn't introduce the gold standard - he didn't have gold - he didn't inflate the currency either. He *actively avoided it*. The gold standard was the global norm for finance during that period, it would be ridiculous to posture against bankers and finance while playing by all of their rules.
@brigrammer@Dan_Hulson@CatLord@dubbub@doctorsex@BattleDwarfGimli@EvilSandmich@Hertz@PraxisOfEvil@TrevorGoodchild exactly. In a nation that is healthy you by definition don't need *laws* to tell people they can only charge an exactly dollar and cent amount for a good. People know intuitivly when they are getting screwed over and you only need some bullshit law putting things in black letter when you already have a shitbucket place where you let people do bad shit, but need to curtail some of the raping to keep the people from chimping out
I am really not worried about that, because we don't exist in such a nation. Any new power this government gets will be used to make White people suffer because this government is fully invested in bio-Leninism.
> Still, though price controls could still do some good in the current system
Could, but won't. They are evil. They will only do more evil.