@cjd can Russia invade more into Europe without either pulling out of Ukraine, or doing a mobilization?
Notices by Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 11-Apr-2025 20:05:08 JST Wolf480pl
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 11-Apr-2025 20:05:07 JST Wolf480pl
@cjd
> Rumor is they're currently using North Korean soldiersPretty sure that's confirmed at this point, not just a rumor.
> They might also do another mobilization. Putin is fairly popular right now
The social contract in Russia is if you stay out of politics, the politics stays out of you. You're the only person I hear claiming that Putin could get away with another mobilization, and it seems very unlikely to me.
> actual Chinese soldiers
yeah, that would be big... -
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Thursday, 10-Apr-2025 00:05:23 JST Wolf480pl
@naruciakk globalization won't win if he and future US presidents decide to keep the tariffs despite the costs
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Thursday, 10-Apr-2025 00:05:20 JST Wolf480pl
@naruciakk there may be benefits to reduction of globalization that are not captured by economic metrics.
For example, reduced risk of disruption by a big boat stuck, or by geopolitical events.
If USA decides to no longer enforce freedom of navigation with its fleet, some of those risks will become bigger, too.
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Monday, 07-Apr-2025 22:29:51 JST Wolf480pl
@warmbeverageenjoyer @sun
not financial advice, I don't know what I'm talking about:I'd like to see it fall a little more. It this starts a global crisis that takes a year before anything starts going up at all, that'd be fun. One's overdue anyway.
Meanwhile I just sit back, eat popcorn, and watch my govt bonds' steady growth.
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Monday, 07-Apr-2025 06:31:41 JST Wolf480pl
@domi
> suddenly throwing the “unix philosophy” out of the windowonly to re-create it inside jq's expression language
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Monday, 07-Apr-2025 05:15:35 JST Wolf480pl
OpenWrt old enough that its repos are gone?
Vendor Linux+dropbear build on some embedded device?
An abandoned buildroot-based custom firmware for an embedded device?
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Monday, 07-Apr-2025 05:15:34 JST Wolf480pl
@lanodan @domi
although I guess I'm contradicting my own definition of retro ("Wii is pretty new")... -
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Monday, 07-Apr-2025 04:57:23 JST Wolf480pl
@lanodan @domi the problem with retro devices is you don't get to choose which protocols they support, and especially which are enabled by default
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Sunday, 06-Apr-2025 23:01:05 JST Wolf480pl
@AzulCrescent I don't know anything about MHWorld, but based on watching youtube videos of people using actual swords, spears, etc. - sounds about right
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 04-Apr-2025 03:07:30 JST Wolf480pl
@cjd at least it's not like Poland, where half of the courts are fake, but nobody can agree which half
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 04-Apr-2025 03:07:29 JST Wolf480pl
@cjd here it's more about the politicians intentionally subverting the process of appointing judges, effectively creating a hard fork in the legal state...
and because the polarization isn't limited only to the political class, but goes vertically throughout the society, there is little public pressure to bring the split chains back in sync, and politicians who propose to do that don't get many votes :/
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 04-Apr-2025 03:07:28 JST Wolf480pl
@cjd what I'm worried might happen next is that election results will be validated in a way that is accepted in one chain but not in the other, and we'll end up with two parallel governments
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 04-Apr-2025 03:07:26 JST Wolf480pl
@cjd wait...
but of the 5 major parties, the only one which has voiced pro-Russia claims is the same one that proposes to merge the split chains :blobcatfearful:
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 04-Apr-2025 03:07:24 JST Wolf480pl
@cjd nah, the problem with them is that they (Konfederacja) are an amalgam of 4 smaller parties that run in the elections together. 3 of them are turbo-nationalist proponents of status-quo-ante, the remaining one is anarcho-capitalist. The thing they have in common is being for a small government and against welfare.
What I meant by pro-Russia is that they're against any support for Ukraine, and IIRC they repeated some of RUS propaganda.
1/
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 04-Apr-2025 03:07:23 JST Wolf480pl
@cjd the 2 biggest players that forked the law are:
- PiS, which is traditionalist, pro-church, pro-welfare, anti-abortion, obsessed with rooting out the soviet-communist influence that they believe lurks deep in the state structures. They have a messiah complex, and their leader wants to be a dictator.
- PO, which is pro-abortion, anti-church, used to be pro-market liberal but has recently skewed towards socialism and social justice. They're obsessed with bringing PiS to justice.
2/
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 04-Apr-2025 03:07:22 JST Wolf480pl
@cjd oh, also, both PiS and PO governments have done a lot to support Ukraine, and to rearm Poland.
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Friday, 04-Apr-2025 03:07:22 JST Wolf480pl
@cjd
the 2 remaining parties are:- Trzecia Droga (a.k.a. PSL + PL2050) - the pro-reconciliation one, with strong traditions of internal democracy and pluralism. Unfortunately, since entering into coalition with PO to form the current government, they've lost popularity.
- Nowa Lewica - as leftist as you can imagine. They think PO is not leftist enough. Also obsessed with bringing PiS to justice.
Previous govt: PiS
Current govt: PO+TD+NL
Current president: PiS3/3
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Thursday, 03-Apr-2025 07:43:31 JST Wolf480pl
tfw can't keep replaygain metadata in git-annex tags
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Wolf480pl (wolf480pl@mstdn.io)'s status on Thursday, 03-Apr-2025 07:43:30 JST Wolf480pl
I mean I could but no existing tool is going to write them, and mpd is not going to read them...