Notices by Nicholas Conrad (nicholas@aklp.club)

In the wake of the summer of blm, at least a few red states passed laws explicitly allowing motorists to drive through a mob surrounding their cars to escape, to much acclaim from the rightosphere. Suddenly they're not fans of this exact behavior tho, curious. 🤔

The doctor is in 👍

matrix does[n't do] even half the things discord does

• stickers
• spy on you
• give the government backdoor access to your chats
• sell your data

...such feature richness....

The problem is that the situation is not:

:button: Abolish the DMCA

:button: Use the DMCA against the bots

:button_sweat:

DMCA use is already plenty normalized by megacorpos against the plebs. Everyone who 'matters' is perfectly happy with the situation. No amount of principled refusal to use the DMCA against megacorps will make it go away. But normalizing plebs using the DMCA against megacorps might actually create an incentive for reform.

No, this is insanity, that's not how probabilities work. Flip a coin, it comes up heads: what is the probability that your next flip will come up tails? Draw your little four square heads/tails matrix and cross out the tails/tails quadrant; are the chances of the next flip 66% heads? Do the chances change if we stipulated that the first flip was on a Tuesday? No! Applying that kind of statistical analysis to random events is called The Gambler's Fallacy. The chance of the flip are always 50/50 regardless of the outcomes of previous flips, or how many irrelevant details you stuff in the story to inflate the number of boxes you draw in your matrix. The chances that Mary had a boy after having a girl were 50/50 whether the girl was born on a Tuesday or not. This is firmly in 'lies, damned lies, and statistics' territory. I am not at all surprised this opportunity to falsely 'well akshually' is blowing up reddit tho.

Note: this seems related to the monty hall problem, so I can see why someone might go along with it knowing a little about probability puzzles, but it is not because the goat is eliminated after you have already picked the first door.

Yes, if someone filters a set of paired results based on known outcomes, that changes the odds of your guess; that's why the monty hall problem works. But this problem is not that. There are not 100 mothers with a random distribution of two children, of which those with two daughters have been eliminated. There is one mother, and the chances of her child being either sex is 50/50.

Look, even if we don't know what day of the week the daughter was born on, we know she was born on a day of the week, so you always can go ahead and draw your weekdays in the table and scratch out the "day X" column even if 'Tuesday' isn't explicitly mentioned in the problem. So we have changed the probability from 66% to 51% just by drawing the table differently with no additional information in the problem. Obviously that outcome is ridiculous. And why stop at day of the week? We also know she was born on a particular date of the year, so you could draw 365 dates into the table and scratch out the 'date x' column. It's an example of statistical modeling where what you choose to model determines the probability space of the model, it doesn't translate to real-world outcomes.

Or say you're practicing your makeup skills for if you ever have to go under cover in a battered neck shelter :roll_safe:

I think good faith arguments could be made about minors not being able to consent to employment contracts, and if parents were forcing their kids into the mines or whatever, that would certainly be covered under the aforementioned slavery exception. But for a significant number of kids I think they would benefit a great deal more from an apprenticeship or working even a factory job than they do from spending the same amount time forced into a failed public education system.

Speaking of which, it doesn't pass my notice that you don't seem to be likewise concerned about the kids consenting to be locked in basically a prison and forced to do menial labor for the state 5 days a week with no productive output, I don't see how anyone who approves of that system could possibly object to the kids producing actual value in the economy while getting paid for their efforts instead.

As for the pro big government narrative of new deal labor policies, I don't find them any more convincing than the pro big government narratives of new deal economic policies. Of course government schools staffed entirely by the largest public sector union members are going to preach big government and unions = good.

unconstitutional since it violates equal protection

Also: freedom of association.

Outside of trafficking/slavery, all labor law is blatantly unconstitutional.

The geese in the park are free.

There's a joke about inflation here I can't quite get succinct enough to be snappy; something like they keep printing new episodes, but haven't added any new underlying humor to the system.

Bonus for curing it, once its in the vacuum bag it's all set for sous videing 👍

Only two ways to screw up a roux; did you burn it, or end up making paper machete instead?

What do you think the M-dash is for?

🪒 — 👃

@atheistdude

Not believing in god, whatever; but there's something strange about people who make not believing in god their personality.

The usual behavior for package installers in my experience is it checks for missing dependencies, lists them, then asks if you want to install them. If you decline it cancels the installation of the initiating software. If you want to auto-install dependencies you run the install command with a flag.

Aside from security concerns, it certainly violates the principle of least surprise to not throw a confirmation prompt by default.

Well, can't argue with facts 🤷♀️

Breakfast? What time zone are you in these days?

I will never understand the obsession with 'gun deaths'.

The 20 years after the gun buyback had more deaths in Australia (in total and per capita) from 'mass casualty events' than the 20 years preceeding port Arthur. It's true that before the gun buyback, they were mostly (but not exclusively) perpetrated with firearms, and after the buyback they rarely (though not 'never', as the cathedral often claims) were committed with firearms. But why does anyone care how mass violence is committed?

:nord: Without guns to defend themselves, more people died

:NPC: Yes, but they didn't die from guns, so it's cool.

🤦♀️

Glad you're enjoying your system; don't ever change.

For my milage:

I put it on an old laptop I let a 7 year old play with like a Fisher-Price Baby's First Laptop, and that by all appearances seems to have been the gnome team's target audience. Maybe that's what you mean by "comfy"? Imo it's only usable for adults with approximately 1,000 extentions installed. Which, kudos for having an extension library, but that's not an excuse to design and ship a wish.com ios for your default desktop environment.