The Russian war economy is not doing great, and they will run into serious bottlenecks within the next year. It is therefore time to let go of the idea that Russia has endless resources to continue the war. That is my topic in this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i7sbS92R4cg
@darnell@randahl@denspier@EUCommission@threads Meta hasn't turned on any fediverse integration for EU users yet, but it is not EU legislation that is holding them back in the rest of the world.
@denspier@randahl@darnell@EUCommission I think this thread has run off on a tangent. Of course Meta is allowed to make an app that uses ActivityPub if they are open about it when people sign up for the service. The DMA is about ensuring openness and breaking monopolies – not about forcing gatekeeper companies to keep creating walled gardens.
@darnell@randahl@EUCommission I don’t understand your argument. When Threads launched last year, they had zero users. There was literally no one whose privacy they needed to protect.
@darnell@randahl I don’t quite follow. Threads was a brand new app with no prior users. Surely Meta is allowed to make a client for the fediverse if they want to.
@randahl@potus It’s a ridiculous implementation of activity pub that means only a very small percentage of Threads users will be discoverable in the fediverse.
There is a lot of talk about a Russian counteroffensive in Kursk. It’s worth remembering that right now it is actually in Zelensky’s interest to make it sound like a big deal, because that will validate his claim that the Kursk offensive is working to divert Russian resources from elsewhere.
@profdc9@randahl Russia is nowhere near to using tactical nuclear weapons in Kursk. They are downplaying the situation and referring to it as a terrorist attack. They are doing everything to portray the event as absolutely not a problem for the state, and there is no way that Putin could use nuclear weapons in a situation where allegedly there is no problem.
@failedLyndonLaRouchite@RobertDaleParker My experience is that it is much the same on Bluesky as on Mastodon. Many people have an account, but most of them haven’t published anything in the last six months.
@VikingChieftain@kimwulff I think Russia has had tactical success with aviation on the frontlines but the ranged campaign has been a fiasco because it has been based on wrong assumptions about what will work and how they can win the war.
@kimwulff I am not sure I understand what you mean. You think the Russian air campaign will be decisive, so it doesn't matter if their ground campaign is stalling? @VikingChieftain
@kimwulff I think so too but I don’t think the Russian air campaign is particularly successful. It’s been going on for two years now and Ukraine still gains new capabilities.
It's interesting how the Russian media is freaking out about the Telegram CEO being arrested in France. They openly acknowledge that the Russian military uses Telegram for encrypted communication, and that they don't have an alternative.
But why is it that they don't have an alternative? Why don't they just use Signal (like the Ukrainians)? I think the big question to those who think that Telegram is a secure platform is why it's the only encryption service that is accepted in Russia.
The Russian reaction to Ukraine's invasion of Kursk is somewhat misunderstood. They may be slow, but they are not paralyzed. We should expect them to escalate the war, but that will require the use of conscripts. They are progressing slowly to avoid domestic backlash. https://youtu.be/u_80rUKItGc
@DrGeraintLLannfrancheta@chowderman@randahl I agree. The lack of criticism from the US and Germany is truly remarkable. I wanted to write a newsletter about it today, but I never found the time so that will have to be tomorrow instead.
@Steinbruch@littlealex I think the primary goal is to bring the war onto Russian territory. That was also what Zelensky emphasized. The other things are secondary objectives. I made this video about it a few days ago, and I still think it holds up. https://youtu.be/A4mg1ZUb-7s
Military analyst at the Royal Danish Defence College. Doing a PhD at the Technical University of Denmark about the implications of social media on warfare.I make videos on YouTube about war, conflict, Russia – at the moment mostly the war in Ukraine. Author of "Krigens Logik" and host of "Krigskunst Podcast".Posts are searchable on tootfinder.