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   Anders Puck Nielsen (anderspuck@krigskunst.social)'s status on Tuesday, 24-Sep-2024 20:01:13 JST Anders Puck Nielsen

   The Russian war economy is not doing great, and they will run into serious bottlenecks within the next year. It is therefore time to let go of the idea that Russia has endless resources to continue the war.
   That is my topic in this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i7sbS92R4cg

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     Tea time. (krafttea@mastodon.social)'s status on Tuesday, 24-Sep-2024 21:10:17 JST Tea time.

     in reply to

     • Gabriele Svelto

     @gabrielesvelto @anderspuck Russia has been moving the crews of its Navy, in many cases, clear across the continent, to die in Ukraine. They have also been doing ridiculous things, such as using drone pilots and tank crews as storm infantry.

     In a very real sense, they are burning through expertise and borrowing from units they have no obvious plans to rebuild anytime soon.

     People talk about increased Russian military spending, as if that means proportionately more troops, weapons, etc. Not so.

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     Gabriele Svelto (gabrielesvelto@fosstodon.org)'s status on Tuesday, 24-Sep-2024 21:10:18 JST Gabriele Svelto

     in reply to

     @anderspuck could the current push in Donetsk be a result of the realization that they won't be able to sustain the war for longer? Are they throwing everything they have at the front in a last ditch effort to obtain measurable gains knowing they'll have to dramatically scale back their military operations soon?

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     eva_chaos (eva_chaos@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 25-Sep-2024 01:38:49 JST eva_chaos

     in reply to

     @anderspuck

     There's a lot of focus on the ruble, but that's a relatively small aspect of their economic problems. They can always print rubles to mail the paychecks out, but they can't print yuan or rupees. The only things they've got to sell that aren't under sanctions are grain and some minerals. Last year russia was flooding Europe with cheap wheat to cause political unrest. This year they aren't because there were losses. I think this will be a hard winter for your average russian.

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