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<blockquote style="position: relative; padding-left: 55px;"><section><a href="https://krigskunst.social/users/anderspuck/statuses/113266839278667090">Anders Puck Nielsen (anderspuck@krigskunst.social)'s status on Tuesday, 08-Oct-2024 00:27:38 JST</a><a href="https://krigskunst.social/@anderspuck" title="anderspuck@krigskunst.social"><img src="https://gnusocial.jp/avatar/109557-48-20230325133513.webp" width="48" height="48" alt="Anders Puck Nielsen" style="position: absolute; left: 0; top: 0;">Anders Puck Nielsen</a></section><article><p>In this video I discuss the failure of the academic community to get the predictions right about Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Most experts said that Russia wouldn't invade at all, and those who did foresee an invasion often predicted a quick Russian victory. So what went wrong, and how could we have done better to understand what Russia was up to?<br><a href="https://krigskunst.social/tags/Russia" rel="tag">#Russia</a> <a href="https://krigskunst.social/tags/Ukraine" rel="tag">#Ukraine</a><br><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0T2MYXljL5o" rel="nofollow noreferrer">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0T2MYXljL5o</a></p></article><footer><a rel="bookmark" href="https://gnusocial.jp/conversation/3787880#notice-7412982">In conversation</a><time datetime="2024-10-08T00:27:38+09:00" title="Tuesday, 08-Oct-2024 00:27:38 JST">about a month ago</time> <span>from <span><a href="https://krigskunst.social/@anderspuck/113266839278667090" rel="external" title="Sent from krigskunst.social via ActivityPub">krigskunst.social</a></span></span><a href="https://krigskunst.social/@anderspuck/113266839278667090">permalink</a><h4>Attachments</h4><ol><li><article><header><img height="128" width="128" src="https://gnusocial.jp/thumbnail/3274830?w=128&amp;h=128"><h5><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0T2MYXljL5o">Why did experts fail to predict Russia's invasion of Ukraine?</a></h5><div> from <span>Anders Puck Nielsen</span></div></header><div>I discuss why so many experts failed to predict the Russian invasion of Ukraine. We must learn from this experience and improve our IR theories so we can do ...</div><footer></footer></article></li></ol></footer></blockquote>

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Anders Puck Nielsen (anderspuck@krigskunst.social)'s status on Tuesday, 08-Oct-2024 00:27:38 JST Anders Puck Nielsen
In this video I discuss the failure of the academic community to get the predictions right about Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Most experts said that Russia wouldn't invade at all, and those who did foresee an invasion often predicted a quick Russian victory. So what went wrong, and how could we have done better to understand what Russia was up to?
#Russia #Ukraine
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0T2MYXljL5o
In conversationabout a month ago from krigskunst.socialpermalink
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1. Why did experts fail to predict Russia's invasion of Ukraine?
  from Anders Puck Nielsen
  I discuss why so many experts failed to predict the Russian invasion of Ukraine. We must learn from this experience and improve our IR theories so we can do ...

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