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Notices by Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)

  1. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Monday, 17-Mar-2025 02:07:15 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    • Paul Cantrell

    @rachelplusplus @inthehands Very true. Reminds me of that famous LBJ quote.

    In conversation about 2 months ago from phpc.social permalink
  2. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Thursday, 13-Feb-2025 01:24:37 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Aral Balkan

    @aral This seems quite applicable: https://infosec.exchange/@Blueteamsherpa/113920502396048894

    In conversation about 3 months ago from phpc.social permalink

    Attachments

    1. No result found on File_thumbnail lookup.
      BlueTeamSherpa :verified: (@Blueteamsherpa@infosec.exchange)
      from BlueTeamSherpa :verified:
      The best, most cogent and elegantly simple explanation into the inexplicably destructive negotiating processes of the president,by Prof. David Honig of Indiana University. Everybody I know should read this accurate and enlightening piece... “I’m going to get a little wonky and write about Donald Trump and negotiations. For those who don't know, I'm an adjunct professor at Indiana University - Robert H. McKinney School of Law and I teach negotiations. Okay, here goes. Trump, as most of us know, is the credited author of "The Art of the Deal," a book that was actually ghost written by a man named Tony Schwartz, who was given access to Trump and wrote based upon his observations. If you've read The Art of the Deal, or if you've followed Trump lately, you'll know, even if you didn't know the label, that he sees all dealmaking as what we call "distributive bargaining." Distributive bargaining always has a winner and a loser. It happens when there is a fixed quantity of something and two sides are fighting over how it gets distributed. Think of it as a pie and you're fighting over who gets how many pieces. In Trump's world, the bargaining was for a building, or for construction work, or subcontractors. He perceives a successful bargain as one in which there is a winner and a loser, so if he pays less than the seller wants, he wins. The more he saves the more he wins. The other type of bargaining is called integrative bargaining. In integrative bargaining the two sides don't have a complete conflict of interest, and it is possible to reach mutually beneficial agreements. Think of it, not a single pie to be divided by two hungry people, but as a baker and a caterer negotiating over how many pies will be baked at what prices, and the nature of their ongoing relationship after this one gig is over. The problem with Trump is that he sees only distributive bargaining in an international world that requires integrative bargaining. He can raise tariffs, but so can other countries. He can't demand they not respond. There is no defined end to the negotiation and there is no simple winner and loser. There are always more pies to be baked. Further, negotiations aren't binary. China's choices aren't (a) buy soybeans from US farmers, or (b) don't buy soybeans. They can also (c) buy soybeans from Russia, or Argentina, or Brazil, or Canada, etc. That completely strips the distributive bargainer of his power to win or lose, to control the negotiation. One of the risks of distributive bargaining is bad will. In a one-time distributive bargain, e.g. negotiating with the cabinet maker in your casino about whether you're going to pay his whole bill or demand a discount, you don't have to worry about your ongoing credibility or the next deal. If you do that to the cabinet maker, you can bet he won't agree to do the cabinets in your next casino, and you're going to have to find another cabinet maker. There isn't another Canada. So when you approach international negotiation, in a world as complex as ours, with integrated economies and multiple buyers and sellers, you simply must approach them through integrative bargaining. If you attempt distributive bargaining, success is impossible. And we see that already. Trump has raised tariffs on China. China responded, in addition to raising tariffs on US goods, by dropping all its soybean orders from the US and buying them from Russia. The effect is not only to cause tremendous harm to US farmers, but also to increase Russian revenue, making Russia less susceptible to sanctions and boycotts, increasing its economic and political power in the world, and reducing ours. Trump saw steel and aluminum and thought it would be an easy win, BECAUSE HE SAW ONLY STEEL AND ALUMINUM - HE SEES EVERY NEGOTIATION AS DISTRIBUTIVE. China saw it as integrative, and integrated Russia and its soybean purchase orders into a far more complex negotiation ecosystem. Trump has the same weakness politically. For every winner there must be a loser. And that's just not how politics works, not over the long run. For people who study negotiations, this is incredibly basic stuff, negotiations 101, definitions you learn before you even start talking about styles and tactics. And here's another huge problem for us. Trump is utterly convinced that his experience in a closely held real estate company has prepared him to run a nation, and therefore he rejects the advice of people who spent entire careers studying the nuances of international negotiations and diplomacy. But the leaders on the other side of the table have not eschewed expertise, they have embraced it. And that means they look at Trump and, given his very limited tool chest and his blindly distributive understanding of negotiation, they know exactly what he is going to do and exactly how to respond to it. From a professional negotiation point of view, Trump isn't even bringing checkers to a chess match. He's bringing a quarter that he insists of flipping for heads or tails, while everybody else is studying the chess board to decide whether its better to open with Najdorf or Grünfeld.” — David Honig
  3. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Sunday, 12-Jan-2025 00:18:40 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • myrmepropagandist
    • Rich Felker
    • mkj
    • toni✨🧠

    @toni @dalias @mkj @futurebird Can someone explain just exactly who was the bad guy here and why, like I’m 5? I’m a longtime SO/SE user but this is first I’ve heard of it. And y’all’s writing has a lot of subtext that I’m just not catching.

    In conversation about 4 months ago from phpc.social permalink
  4. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Thursday, 02-Jan-2025 02:40:01 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson

    People who say the American Dream is getting harder to achieve are telling the truth. Class economic opportunity gap is widening for all. https://open.substack.com/pub/ofboysandmen/p/the-cratering-economic-prospects

    In conversation about 5 months ago from phpc.social permalink

    Attachments

    1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: substackcdn.com
      The cratering economic prospects of white men raised poor
      from Richard V Reeves
      Chetty's latest databomb highlights disturbing trends about class in America
  5. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Wednesday, 25-Dec-2024 02:28:36 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Rich Felker

    @dalias What did Mary save herself from?

    In conversation about 5 months ago from phpc.social permalink
  6. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Friday, 13-Dec-2024 01:27:19 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Aral Balkan

    @aral Thanks. Manifesto seems like an overblown word for what is just a short statement.

    In conversation about 5 months ago from phpc.social permalink
  7. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Thursday, 05-Dec-2024 00:51:25 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Cory Doctorow

    @pluralistic And to sell your location data to data brokers like Venntel (Gravy).

    In conversation about 5 months ago from phpc.social permalink
  8. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Monday, 07-Oct-2024 14:25:49 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson

    There is no Green Party anymore. There is only a con artist with ties to Russia running a conservative-backed psyop designed to siphon votes from actual progressives. https://www.salon.com/2024/09/23/jill-stein-paid-100000-to-a-consulting-firm-led-by-a-suspected-january-6-rioter/

    In conversation about 7 months ago from phpc.social permalink

    Attachments

    1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: mediaproxy.salon.com
      Jill Stein paid $100,000 to a Republican consulting firm led by a suspected January 6 rioter
      from Marin Scotten
      The Green Party leader has hired a GOP consulting firm and worked with Trump-affiliated lawyers
  9. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Monday, 07-Oct-2024 05:12:57 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    • :pine: the ☀️ & the ?
    • Paul Cantrell

    @t54r4n1 @inthehands Exactly. That 20-50 year timeframe is the length of the battle without political capital. If we can change that political part some how, technologically it could be done damn near overnight (days to a few years).

    In conversation about 7 months ago from phpc.social permalink
  10. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Monday, 07-Oct-2024 02:49:49 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Paul Cantrell

    @inthehands Academic question: how many miles can you drive the Civic before it exceeds the GHG involved in making/shipping the bike?

    In conversation about 7 months ago from phpc.social permalink
  11. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Monday, 07-Oct-2024 02:38:47 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Paul Cantrell

    @inthehands photos? 🙂

    In conversation about 7 months ago from phpc.social permalink
  12. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Wednesday, 21-Aug-2024 23:31:55 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Félix
    • Paul Cantrell
    • David Smith

    @inthehands @fay59 @Catfish_Man Well, not literally all. There’s some real boneheaded hardware out there too. 😆

    In conversation about 9 months ago from phpc.social permalink
  13. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Sunday, 24-Mar-2024 04:01:13 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Paul Cantrell

    @inthehands I wish I’d had profs like you when I was getting my CS degree. Props to you for being a good educator.

    In conversation about a year ago from phpc.social permalink
  14. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Monday, 18-Mar-2024 23:43:07 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Paul Cantrell
    • Misuse Case
    • NPR
    • Charles Chen

    @inthehands @chrlschn @npr @MisuseCase Exactly. I came here to say this. The actual studies have taken economic factors into account. Whatever criticism one may have of NPR, the negative outcomes of eating ultra refined foods are not due to financial health of the family. Because those same harmful foods are the cheapest just makes our treatment of the poor (and the ultra rich) even more outrageous.

    In conversation about a year ago from phpc.social permalink
  15. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Tuesday, 06-Feb-2024 01:35:34 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Paul Cantrell
    • Minnesota Reformer

    @inthehands @mnreformer That oversight is really glaring, and out of character for the Reformer.

    In conversation about a year ago from phpc.social permalink
  16. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Friday, 02-Feb-2024 00:40:46 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Paul Cantrell

    @inthehands Only the required pair of low level writing classes, I think. It was eons ago.

    In conversation about a year ago from phpc.social permalink
  17. Embed this notice
    Chris Johnson (cxj@phpc.social)'s status on Thursday, 01-Feb-2024 10:06:12 JST Chris Johnson Chris Johnson
    in reply to
    • Paul Cantrell

    @inthehands Wait, what? I’m in the Twin Cities and here I thought I was following some sophisticate who lived in London AND New York City. And I graduated from CSU, too. Where did my life go so wrong? 😆

    In conversation about a year ago from phpc.social permalink

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    Chris Johnson

    Chris Johnson

    I’m spending my time trying to figure out what I would write in bios like this. If you know the problem , you know.

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