Notices by Tobias Merkendorf (t_mkdf@ruhr.social)

@kravietz also: what would surrender look like? How could it be achieved?

A full surrender seems unlikely. And even if it would occur, with e.g. occupation, it would not be the end of Putin's woes. Occupation is costly. And would be a strain on russia. Like a half-truce. Mobilzed will return home. War economy will need to shift.

I see only outcomes where russia becomes less stable. The point is that there are outcomes where they will drag the rest of the he World with them...

@anderspuck

@notsoloud @VikingChieftain @kimwulff a lot of people in Germany, especially in the east, did have (and many still do have) positive opinions about russia and Putin. Politicians and businesses had "fruitful" connections with russia.

And these resurface now in view of the situation in Ukraine and the elections.

@WashingtonIrving @notsoloud @VikingChieftain @kimwulff I don't defend Merkel on anything. But I think I should defend her on this one.

Merkel was one of the few (during her time as chancellor maybe the only) western politicians that saw through Putin.

She was always a master of the possible and too much of a "realist" for any real strategy against russia.

Not by chance did russia start the full-scale invasion after she left office.

@rooster it's X-Men. Don't they know that it always has been woke?

@w7voa which is no surprise and was rumoured for a while now in German media (ever since he fled).

Does anyone have more information about the rumour that the #G7 are planning a "#NATO" lite for Ukraine (funding, intel sharing, logistics, economic help...)?

If true this would be great news and signal to #russia that they cannot simply hope that Western resolve and support for #Ukraine will collapse.

https://youtu.be/ERn9TG_P9Ts

@RedCore not during the active conflict anyway.

Whilst NATO membership for Ukraine would be great "after" the war it is far more important to set up long term support and a strategy for, let's say, the next 5 years at least.

To ensure that russia's assumption that they can outlast the support is not feasible for them.

@RedCore what does "russia becoming very serious" mean?

@kravietz that is interesting.

This is a good indication that it is no false flag. The elite is not well like and if it would have succeeded the average bloke would probably cheer for it.

So either UKR (or related group) with a good choice of popular targets. Which seems most likely.

Or Z-radicals starting a quarrel with the regime (somewhat in line with some Prigozhin statements). Which is unlikely, since they might have other means at hand. But UkR should put the blame on them anyhow.