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Notices by Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)

  1. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 22-Dec-2024 15:12:25 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist

    Ottawa Public Health makes only the raw data available for All causes and respiratory-related emergency department visits to Ottawa hospitals by age group and week ( https://open.ottawa.ca/datasets/ottawa::all-causes-and-respiratory-related-emergency-department-visits-to-ottawa-hospitals-by-age-group-and-week/about ). 2/

    In conversation about 5 months ago from mstdn.science permalink

    Attachments

    1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: www.arcgis.com
      All causes and respiratory-related emergency department visits to Ottawa hospitals by age group and week
      Table presenting the number of emergency department visits, all causes or respiratory-related, by week and age for the current respiratory season. Also presents the % of ED visits related to respiratory syndromes by week and age.
  2. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 22-Dec-2024 15:12:24 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    in reply to

    If I take the data and plot all the ages together, you can at least see all of the age groups at the same time but it is just the raw numbers.

    The graph shows that the # of visits for the age 0-3 group is similar to the 18-54 age group near the top of the graph, and the 80+ age group numbers are very low, similar to the age 12-17 group. 3/

    In conversation about 5 months ago from gnusocial.jp permalink

    Attachments


    1. https://static.mstdn.science/media_attachments/files/113/694/070/005/857/572/original/6ed4369863b80e23.png
  3. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 22-Dec-2024 15:12:23 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    in reply to

    But you aren't seeing the full picture, this is where population rate comes in. The next graph uses the same data but instead of raw numbers shows the rate per 100,000 population in each age group.

    You can see with population rate the age 0-3 group is far and above the highest level of all groups while the 18-54 age group which had similar raw numbers is actually the lowest rate. 4/

    In conversation about 5 months ago from mstdn.science permalink

    Attachments


    1. https://static.mstdn.science/media_attachments/files/113/694/071/495/861/297/original/60054784c15dfeaa.png
  4. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 22-Dec-2024 15:12:22 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    in reply to

    Why? The 0-3 age group represents only 3.75% of the population in Ottawa but had the same # of visits as the 18-54 age group which represents 49.9% of the population so a much higher percentage of the 0-3 age group is being impacted by respiratory infections resulting in ED visits.

    Now you can see the real impact on age, where age 0-3 have the highest ED visit rate followed by age 4-11, and then age 80+ which get hidden when you only look at the raw provided numbers from OPH. 5/

    In conversation about 5 months ago from gnusocial.jp permalink
  5. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 22-Dec-2024 15:12:21 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    in reply to

    Just to make things a little simpler, the last graph shows the # per 100k population as a stacked percentage so you can easily see which age groups are impacted the most.

    The youngest 0-3 age group throughout the year accounts for more than 50% of all respiratory related ED visits per 100K population despite being only 3.75% of the population. 6/

    In conversation about 5 months ago from mstdn.science permalink

    Attachments


    1. https://static.mstdn.science/media_attachments/files/113/694/075/916/874/433/original/81de167843892fbd.png
  6. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 08-Dec-2024 22:40:20 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist

    Particles in between those sizes (around 0.3 microns) don't travel in straight lines and also don't zigzag randomly but get carried along with the air as it flows around fibres and likely past fibres so can possibly sneak by respirators even with multiple layers. N95s use a final trick of capturing particles of all sizes using an electric field where even neutral particles will still be attracted (as you can see from neutrally charged styrofoam sticking to a cat with static charged fur). 14/

    In conversation about 5 months ago from mstdn.science permalink

    Attachments


    1. https://static.mstdn.science/media_attachments/files/109/513/420/735/624/004/original/f5b09a5a9a83ae0a.png
  7. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 08-Dec-2024 07:00:32 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist

    Some cool images of particles being captured by an N95 respirator. "The 'big'' crystals are about 1.5 microns. The smaller captured particles are as small viruses like COVID." ( https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1865453640510824790.html ). 🧵 1/

    #N95 #Respirator #Virus #Filter

    In conversation about 5 months ago from mstdn.science permalink

    Attachments


    1. https://static.mstdn.science/media_attachments/files/113/613/557/710/099/108/original/fa2aa14a235ed428.jpg

    2. https://static.mstdn.science/media_attachments/files/113/613/558/291/038/354/original/389b745f72ffec9d.jpg
    3. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: shots.threadreader.app
      Thread by @ghhughes on Thread Reader App
      from @ghhughes
      @ghhughes: Do N95s and KN95s filter viruses? Yes. Here's an electron microscope image of salt particles on the fibes of a KN95 by @zhouliang_mask. The image is of a NIOSH-type salt loading test of the melt blown...…
  8. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 18-Feb-2024 18:11:36 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist

    Clean air including ventilation and filtration is the ward that can be implemented at an infrastructure level and people don't need to do anything different to get the benefits like we already benefit from clean water infrastructure. Governments and policy makers need to put the appropriate standards and monitoring in place and then mandate them. 17/

    In conversation about a year ago from mstdn.science permalink
  9. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 18-Feb-2024 18:11:34 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    in reply to

    "Learning to live with COVID" means upgrading air quality, now ( https://www.thegauntlet.news/p/learning-to-live-with-covid-means ). 18/

    In conversation about a year ago from gnusocial.jp permalink

    Attachments

    1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: substackcdn.com
      "Learning to live with COVID" means upgrading air quality, now
      from Julia Doubleday
      This level of illness is unsustainable. Fortunately, basic measures can drastically reduce viral spread.
  10. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Monday, 18-Dec-2023 12:47:44 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist

    It is estimated that currently 1 in 13 people are infected in Ontario which means there is a 55% chance at least one person in your group of 10 is infected. This jumps to a 70% chance in groups of 15, 86.5% chance with 25 people and 98% chance at that office Christmas party of 50 people.

    Estimate from ( https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index/ ) and calculator available at ( https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qokCvvi6oRYRCKtrZuyeUmb5mt4LC9o8nKHLKoAUVAY/edit?usp=sharing ). 🧵 1/

    In conversation Monday, 18-Dec-2023 12:47:44 JST from mstdn.science permalink

    Attachments



    1. https://static.mstdn.science/media_attachments/files/111/598/301/702/085/744/original/1b8331ba03f871f7.png
    2. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: lh7-us.googleusercontent.com
      Calculate the probability that 1 person (or more) is infected in group of size n
      Probability 1+ Person Infected in Group Calculate the Probability that 1 Person (or more) is Infected in Group of Size n Created by:,Dr. Jeff Gilchrist Last updated:,December 17, 2023 NOTE: To change the values in this calculator you first need to ...
  11. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 26-Nov-2023 02:53:35 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist

    The EPA aerosolized non-pathogenic virus (bacteriophage MS2) and measured particle size (0.01 um to 0.6 um) and concentration during the testing in a 3000 square foot test chamber. They found the virus particle concentration was reduced by 40% after 15 minutes, 97% after 30 minutes, 99.4% after 60 minutes and 99.8% after 90 minutes.

    More details about this EPA CR box testing project are described here ( https://twitter.com/MarinaC_Dyb/status/1719349909210472749 ).28/

    In conversation Sunday, 26-Nov-2023 02:53:35 JST from mstdn.science permalink

    Attachments


    1. https://static.mstdn.science/media_attachments/files/111/471/388/644/742/784/original/0c5cb36a7e2e7006.png

  12. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 26-Nov-2023 02:53:34 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    in reply to

    Just like we expect to have access to clean drinking water, we should be demanding that our governments also provide access to clean air.

    Recently 60-Minutes did an episode on The Air We Breathe which can be seen here ( https://www.cbsnews.com/video/indoor-air-systems-public-health-60-minutes-video-2023-10-29/ ). 29/

    In conversation Sunday, 26-Nov-2023 02:53:34 JST from gnusocial.jp permalink

    Attachments

    1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: assets1.cbsnewsstatic.com
      Indoor air systems “absolutely key” in curbing spread of viruses | 60 Minutes
      With COVID an ongoing concern and flu season getting started, aerosol researchers say there needs to be a focus on improving the quality of the air we all breathe while inside.
  13. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Sunday, 26-Nov-2023 01:54:53 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist

    The most important factor is how well a respirator fits on your face so there is minimal leakage around gaps as some respirators fit people very well and others very poorly. You can learn about my fit testing adventure where I found one mask leaked 70x more than another on my face ( https://pingthread.com/thread/1655331142990528514 ). 24/

    In conversation Sunday, 26-Nov-2023 01:54:53 JST from mstdn.science permalink

    Attachments

    1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: pingthread.com
      Thread by jeffgilchrist: Fit Testing to ensure a good seal on your mask [Pa... - PingThread
      from @jeffgilchrist
      Fit Testing to ensure a good seal on your mask [Part 2] This thread describes my quantitative fit testing experience with some real-world results of various types of #masks including #NIOSH #N95 and ear loop and how 1 mask leaked 70x more than the other on my face. 🧵1/
  14. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:50 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    • Michael Lin, MD PhD

    Many people have anecdotally discovered and reported that Novavax doses had much lower side effects than when they received an mRNA shot. Multiple studies have now shown this to be the case as well. One preprint study (supported by Novavax) that compares the reactogenicity (frequency of side effects) of Novavax and mRNA vaccines ( https://medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.05.31.23290594v1.full ). H/T: @michaelzlin 10/

    In conversation Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:50 JST from mstdn.science permalink

    Attachments


  15. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:49 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    in reply to

    They found a notable difference in the percentage of reported side effect symptoms with Novavax being lower in each category:
    * 30.8% lower muscle pain
    * 30.4% lower injection site pain
    * 25.7% lower fatigue
    * 25.4% lower injection site tenderness
    * 24.9% lower malaise
    * 22.4% lower swelling
    * 18.3% lower headache
    * 17.5% lower joint pain
    * 13% lower redness
    * 12% lower fever
    * 3.5% lower nausea/vomiting

    11/

    In conversation Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:49 JST from gnusocial.jp permalink

    Attachments


    1. https://static.mstdn.science/media_attachments/files/111/041/498/097/241/401/original/0c0808af776e540c.jpg
  16. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:48 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    in reply to

    What about people who had mRNA doses previously but want to consider Novavax?

    There have been several studies now that found mixing the two, getting mRNA and then Novavax actually gave better results than just mRNA on its own. 12/

    In conversation Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:48 JST from mstdn.science permalink
  17. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:48 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist

    ASHRAE Standard 241, Control of Infectious Aerosols ( https://www.ashrae.org/technical-resources/bookstore/ashrae-standard-241-control-of-infectious-aerosols ) was released in July 2023 so this should now be adopted and required by governments in air quality standards for buildings like they already require clean drinking water standards for these same buildings. 19/

    In conversation Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:48 JST from mstdn.science permalink

    Attachments

    1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: www.ashrae.org
      ASHRAE Standard 241, Control of Infectious Aerosols | ashrae.org
      Learn more about ASHRAE Standard 241, Control of Infectious Aerosols at ashrae.org
  18. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:47 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    in reply to

    One study found that getting Novavax as a booster after mRNA "may enhance the persistence and durability of vaccine-mediated immunity compared to mRNA options" with slower decay rate compared to an mRNA booster dose and less side effects than mRNA boosters ( https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/14760584.2023.2232020 ). H/T: @daniel_e_park 13/

    In conversation Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:47 JST from gnusocial.jp permalink

    Attachments


  19. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:47 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    in reply to

    It is important to have good indoor air quality, not just from viruses but also for cognitive function and from other air pollutants (like wildfire smoke) which have been linked to various health problems ( https://mstdn.science/@jeffgilchrist/109580638330581137 ). 20/

    In conversation Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:47 JST from gnusocial.jp permalink

    Attachments

    1. No result found on File_thumbnail lookup.
      Jeff Gilchrist (@jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)
      from Jeff Gilchrist
      Attached: 1 image The importance of indoor air quality #IAQ This thread looks at the impact of #cleaning indoor #air, not just from pathogens in #aerosol #particles but also from other air #pollutants linked to various health problems, and what we can do about it. #IndoorAirQuality #Ventilation #CO2 #PM25 An unrolled one-page web view for this long thread that may be easier to read or share can be found here ( https://pingthread.com/thread/1607379781892575234 ). 🧵 1/
  20. Embed this notice
    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:46 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist
    in reply to
    • Michael Lin, MD PhD

    A randomized controlled trial found that getting a Novavax dose after Pfizer mRNA elicited the highest humoral and peak cellular immune responses ( https://www.journalofinfection.com/article/S0163-4453(23)00330-4/fulltext ). H/T: @michaelzlin 14/

    In conversation Monday, 11-Sep-2023 02:21:46 JST from mstdn.science permalink

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    Jeff Gilchrist

    Jeff Gilchrist

    PhD biomedical researcher, data scientist, and finder of large prime numbers. Views are my own. Twitter: https://twitter.com/jeffgilchrist

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