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    Jeff Gilchrist (jeffgilchrist@mstdn.science)'s status on Monday, 18-Dec-2023 12:47:44 JST Jeff Gilchrist Jeff Gilchrist

    It is estimated that currently 1 in 13 people are infected in Ontario which means there is a 55% chance at least one person in your group of 10 is infected. This jumps to a 70% chance in groups of 15, 86.5% chance with 25 people and 98% chance at that office Christmas party of 50 people.

    Estimate from ( https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index/ ) and calculator available at ( https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qokCvvi6oRYRCKtrZuyeUmb5mt4LC9o8nKHLKoAUVAY/edit?usp=sharing ). 🧵 1/

    In conversation Monday, 18-Dec-2023 12:47:44 JST from mstdn.science permalink

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      Calculate the probability that 1 person (or more) is infected in group of size n
      Probability 1+ Person Infected in Group Calculate the Probability that 1 Person (or more) is Infected in Group of Size n Created by:,Dr. Jeff Gilchrist Last updated:,December 17, 2023 NOTE: To change the values in this calculator you first need to ...

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