@danjac Containerization cut the cost of international freight shipping by 98-99% in the 1970s-80s. Hence it made global economies of scale possible in many centralized industries. Shipping the raw materials to lots of local factories is going to end up more expensive. You can in principle run container ships by burning synthetic fuels manufactured using renewable energy inputs, but those cost a lot more than the fossil stuff.
@cstross fusion is the only way big container ships make any economic and environmental sense in a post-fossil economy. Otherwise why not just make more stuff locally and just ship the raw materials you absolutely need?
a) Shipping. Big container ships *can't* be sail-powered (the largest sailing ships ever are about 1% of the size we'd need). But existing marine nuclear power is a proliferation and/or meltdown risk. If we can make a small fusion reactor, we could make our existing global supply chains carbon-neutral.
b) Continuous industrial processes that can't survive a power glitch, much less nighttime on a windless night (no renewables). There are a lot of those.
@goatsarah@cstross@danjac If you can fix some political issues (you have to go through either Russia or Iran), you could roughly halve the need for large container ships by building a high-capacity highly-automated electric freight line across Eurasia.
The back of my envelope says that five tracks in each direction between China (and the rest of East/SE Asia) and Europe would replace the entire container shipping traffic between the two, which is approx half of the world's container shipping.
@goatsarah@cstross@danjac I suspect you’ll find you’re several orders of magnitude short. They might be the rare case where hydrogen makes some sort of sense.
@Sinner@SuperMoosie There are virtually no heat pumps where I live (central Edinburgh): the commonest housing style is multi-dwelling buildings, so they’d need air-source heat pumps. Add being a UNESCO World Heritage Site where we aren't even allowed to fit double-glazing or satellite TV dishes because they’d spoil the exterior appearance of the building, and, well, heat pumps are a non-starter (without significant legislative changes).
@cstross@SuperMoosie are there many Heat Pumps that far north? Does any of your neighbors have a heat pump? Are they happy with it? Are they saving energy/money?
@SuperMoosie Solar PV is *not* more efficient when you're 55 degrees north and get less than 6 hours of daylight out of 24 hours in winter (and the sun never gets more than 12 degrees above the horizon). Hint: that's where I live.
c) Cold winter nights in the far north. Most folks think solar power is great—it peaks during daytime in summer, when you want air conditioning! But that's less useful if you need heat to avoid freezing on a winter night.
d) Space travel beyond roughly Jupiter orbit (not much sunlight that far out).
e) Speculatively: fusion reactors as a controlled source of neutrons for destroying existing radioactive waste stockpiles through transmutation.
@goatsarah@wonka@danjac Look at the new thin-film PV panels on the ISS; they're about as thin and light as printer paper per unit area and come on a roll. Price is dropping rapidly, too. (The space-rated ones came first and were specced years before they were launched. It's now getting cheap enough that PV sails on sailing boats are looking plausible.)
@A_C_McGregor So those would need to be removed in port from every single stack first, which takes extra time. Safely disconnecting them electrically takes even more time. Time is at a premium... I think time will tell if switching to ICEs burning NH3 instead of hydrocarbons is cheaper. @cstross@goatsarah@danjac
@wonka@cstross@goatsarah@danjac you'd just bolt individual units to the top of each container stack; containers are *designed* to have shit bolted atop like that
@cstross How's their efficiency? How will they be wired up, on top of that stack of containers? What happens with them during strong winds on the open sea? @goatsarah@danjac
@goatsarah@Nicovel0@danjac As long as the cargo isn't perishable or time-critical, that's good. (I'm mainly worried about food distribution once we begin experiencing routine crop failures in different places at the same time. Cars and concrete can take their time, but you don't want the emergency food aid to be a month late!)
@cstross@goatsarah@SuperMoosie@Sinner I've seen houses with very long refrigerant lines for air conditioning. If it's a terraced house you might be able to disguise the cold side in a louvered shed down the garden. The actual visible change to the house would only be one or two small holes possibly below grade. Could that get approval?
@goatsarah Time at sea is cheap, yes, but time in port, blocking a berth? HHLA Quay Tariff says 1€/GT for the first 24h, and 0.65€/GT for every further 12h. How long would it take to uninstall and reinstall the panels? @cstross@A_C_McGregor@danjac
@goatsarah@cstross@SuperMoosie@Sinner that integrated heat pump cylinder looks really interesting. We're buying a new home and that looks like a possible option for us.
@goatsarah Should there be cables dangling down from the top of a stack of containers, possibly in strong wind conditions? Does "marine grade" include that? Also, we're not talking about providing power to a cooler container, but a little more juice, which should take thicker cables, ... We're getting into new extremes in several fields there. @cstross@danjac
@goatsarah@SuperMoosie@Sinner Yes, I have a water cylinder in a location that'd be suitable. Problem is, I see no sign that this can run a central heating system as well as a hot water tank …?
It's not about the scale, but about the usage: long-distance shipping works v differently to smaller craft on shorter trips because they need constant power output for days or weeks. That means a hybrid system is mostly pointless (unlike eg ferries, which maneouvre a lot).
Personally I suspect that this will be all the things mentioned in thread - slow steaming, wind assist, maybe PV, plus also renewables-based liquid fuel.
@goatsarah Yes, one panel atop each stack of containers. The power collected there needs to go to the power bus, which will not be at the top of the stack of connectors, because there is nothing but containers, and containers do not universally have electric cabling. @cstross@danjac
@wonka@goatsarah@danjac Think thin film PV roller shutters to cover the top level of containers. Permanently built into the superstructure. Roll up when in port to permit loading/unloading. Providing added weather protection for the cargo if they're done properly.
@cstross The solar panel needs to go on the top, *and* connect to the power bus. That will likely need a cable hanging down from the panel to some socket it can plug into, the power bus will not go to the top of the container stacks. @goatsarah@danjac
@cstross@SuperMoosie@goatsarah no need to use harsh language. I was truly and really confused by your answer. It’s easy and not confusing to write “35C” / “35° C” or “35F” / “35° F”, as unfortunately not everyone uses Celsius.