Pakistan knows they are next in line if Iran fallsPakistani journalist F.M. Shakil has written an excellent article published at The Cradle on recent developments between Iran and it’s neighbor Pakistan. This gives me some hope that what appears to be the opening to World War 3 may not actually devolve into such a world-wide conflagration. If Iran is not standing alone, and is backed by nuclear-armed powers in the region, it could deter the US from foolishly trying to escalate the conflict.
From my point of view, after Trump reneging on the US diplomatic agreement JCPOA (“Iran Nuclear Deal”) that was organized by Obama, and otherwise behaving extremely erratically in the first 4 months of his second term in office, would any rational actor in the role of state leadership ever trust any diplomatic negotiation with the US ever again?
Furthermore, after hearing many grand Biblical proclamations from various Neo-Conservative and Christian Zionists of the Trump regime, such as Lindsay Graham, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, is it crazy for the leadership of a majority-Muslim nation to see this attack on Iran as motivated not only by purely cynical greed for control over more crude oil, but also by a zealous and completely irrational White Supremacist ideology? Are the Iranian regime the only regressive religious zealot players in this game?
Back to F.M. Shakil’s article, if my point of view was not obvious to you, it might seem surprising that Pakistan would choose to back Iran in this conflict, especially after the two countries were recently engaged in drone warfare skirmishes. Quoting the article:
“It was only early last year that Iran launched missile and drone strikes into Pakistan’s Balochistan region on 16 January, targeting extremist militant group Jaish al-Adl positions. Pakistan retaliated two days later on 18 January, conducting air and missile strikes into Iran’s Sistan and Baluchestan province in an operation dubbed Marg Bar Sarmachar. The tit-for-tat was remarkably friendly in the final analysis, and appears to have settled some critical border cooperation issues between the two states.
“The fact that these former adversaries – who had just engaged in direct military exchanges – have now adopted “resolute solidarity” is nothing short of breathtaking.”
But then Shakil presents the hard evidence — the US and Israel have already tipped their hands here:
“Tel Aviv’s recent strikes on Iranian military and nuclear infrastructure mark a new phase in a decades-long western strategy aimed at dismantling Muslim powers resistant to colonial domination. Iraq, Syria, Libya – all were destabilized under similar pretexts. The 2001 plot, conceived by the US, its European allies, and Israel, has entered its second phase, targeting Iran initially and Pakistan subsequently. In a 2011 interview with Channel 2, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu laid bare the logic: Iran and Pakistan are the primary targets of this containment strategy, he stated blankly. “These radical regimes … pose a significant threat,” he said, stressing the need to prevent them from acquiring nuclear capability.”
In short, it is no secret: after Iran is done, Pakistan is next.
Though Pakistan has indicated they are still open to negotiation with the US, it would be crazy for them not to back Iran in this conflict. Then we will see how a nuclear-capable power supporting Iran changes the balance of power in the region. I hope it prevents open war between Iran and the US.
One thing we have seen repeatedly over the past 50 years is that the US has been reluctant to act with belligerence toward any nuclear-capable nation, hence why North Korea is hell-bent on perfecting their ICBM program. Conversely, Libya unwisely agreed to disarm in 2004, a mere seven years later the Gaddafi government was deposed in 2011 by a NATO-backed rebellion (and Hillary Clinton mocked the Libyans for it during her 2015 presidential campaign). And if you do not have nukes (like Iran), the US will claim you do anyway and and use that as justification to start a war against your country. Once again, insane US foreign policy has but one thing to teach leaders of the world’s various nations: if you want to protect yourself from US settler-colonial conquest, acquire nuclear weapons.
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