I am very, very interested in having an AI CEO that I can talk to and which has been given the authorization to give me raises. Please, by all means continue.
The thing most likely to get people to stop is the end of the massive subsidies for its use that the VCs are currently pouring in.
Already firms are starting to panic a little about token use for things like Claude Code, and are putting limiters in their workers that really defeat the purpose of all of the "YOU MUST USE THIS OR BE FIRED" diktats. But operating indefinitely at those prices will bankrupt Anthropic soon.
So at some point the private equity love affair with everything AI will dry up (possibly because of a Iran war-induced financial crisis), and at that point it's going to be "my org can spend $50k annually on my personal Claude tokens to make me 20% more productive . . . or it could just hire a junior dev?"
There's a chance they manage to optimize this, or get it to work using a lighter weight model. But I think it's unlikely.
And I think when that happens, there's enough sunk capital into the models and built data centers that there will be a desperate search for some way to put those to effective use, and I think they'll find something. But I don't know what it's going to be (if I did I could make myself very, very rich, probably).
But I think the downsizing/de-skilling of this period that we're in the middle of is going to leave a gaping hole in the US's tech sector capacity, and I'm not sure it's going to recover.
I had an outbreak of Reply Guys when I posted a thing about Claude Code being able to write shitty but functional code for certain applications, and that not being a good thing overall. A small number of people were very, very angry about that.
TIL: "Tibetan" singing bowls aren't an ancient practice. They aren't even Tibetan.
It's a thing westerners did with ordinary metal food bowls that are common in many parts of Asia. The oldest ones appear to be from Persia, but not as any kind of instrument.
Some Buddhist and Taoist practices uses standing bells, which are sorta kinda similar but not the same.
@apm77 they’re absolutely lovely! I came across this after being worried about appropriation in a Christian service. Turns out, there’s nothing to appropriate. It’s just a fun thing to do with a metal bowl that sounds cool.
Day job: #geospatial #datascience #python #securityAcademic research: #LandReform #STS #Scotland #Ecology #Landscape #CommunityOwnershipSTS, planning geography, ecology, geospatial data, stuff. I live and raise a fuss in #Durham #NCCurrently block-happy. Too many dudes being basic in my mentions.MA GeographyPh.D. Constructed EnvironmentHe/him http://git.io/vxjC7