«The International Energy Agency now projects oil, gas, and coal use will all peak this decade. This constitutes a dramatic shift from the last 150 years when the thirst for fossil fuels persistently rose. But now this growth is nearing its end sooner than many expected, driven in part by a surge in renewables.
This significant event, however, masks a more striking possible future: One in which total global energy use peaks and energy’s weight in world affairs diminishes. [...]
In a broader sense, just as history has included the stone, bronze and iron ages, we have been living since the Industrial Revolution in an energy age. But this age, during which energy has dominated so many economic, geopolitical and other dimensions, may be coming to an end with peak energy.»
A bit confusing is the author's talk of "energy peak" which seems to lumb together energy and electricity demands. Thus, whereas I can see a decline in energy demands, I don't see them with regard to electricity demands. (Esp. with all the decarbonisation of industries necessary to accomplish mitigation with climate change.)
Anyway, an interesting piece with a lot of interesting links. Surely countering my musings on #peakrenewables with #peakenergy as the broader concept.
Embed this noticesimsa03 (simsa03@gnusocial.jp)'s status on Tuesday, 11-Jul-2023 09:34:12 JST
simsa03Re-wilding doesn't mean to fall back to some apparently chaotic state (compared to which the present one counts as progress). Re-wilding is the willingness to accept smaller solutions, outdated answers, forgotten encyclopedias, and a state of the world that is not more "primitive" but more ambiguous and more ambivalent. It's the times of literality and unambiguousness that create the dead ends, not those of ambiguity and perplexity.
Returned from the rail trip. The journey back turned out as torturing as I had expected. Four stop-overs, the first three in time, with enough of of time to change trains. Then the last connection started 30 minutes late in Frabkfurt and just stopped 10 kilometres before arriving at my destination. Had to find a tramway which then turned out to not service for unexplained reasons. I then switched to a different bus line which took me on a detour of half an hour. Tram journeys went better 30 years ago. Feels like the country in which I live develops into some kind of a developing country. Which may have its positive aspect. But the time till then becomes a phase of things being unbearable. But we should get used to this process of re-wilding in order to reach #postdoom .
« We are living inside the imagination of our ancestors. »
Starting with a beautiful and helpful image, the author quickly relapses into fantasies of Ernest Callenbach's "Ecotopia" – small-town romance with bike lanes and neighbourhood handshakes. It is such suggestions and appeal to local activism that today make people hopeless in the first place.
On a larger note, it is stunning how people in search of "solutions" regularly fall back on images and concepts that are 40 years old or older (like they oppose nuclear power on the ground of prejudices and ideas that are likewise 40 years old).
That these "solutions" depend on a landscape of culture and infrastructure that is also already bygone doesn't occur to them. The only adaptation they seem capable of is taking these old suggestions and try to scale them to today's industrial levels and sizes ... thereby making these old suggestions hoplelessly unworkable.
In that sense, modern environmental and climate activists are the most reactionary activists. They profess to care for the future but advocate for an outdated past.
@scribe
Most people no longer live in pristine places, and their sense of beauty may have already been numbed, exhausted, and violated. Living in urban agglomerations can instill a longing for beauty exactly because of the ugliness that is part of the daily experience of place and environment.
And it may be because of that that people turn their sense of "belonging" to something else: online communities, "the planet as a whole", humanity's future, etc.
This doesn't need to be something unfortunate but may simply show that humans are changing: from "place-bound" (with its inherent "belonging") to "sphere-bound", i.e., everything that allows for a "We", for beauty, and the care for its sustencance.
I think human beings are care-driven. They lose themselves if they don't have something they can care for and care about.Which is another reason why I am utterly hopeful, with a strong sense of #postdoom.
I don't feel doomed and I don't feel down. I was describing in a distant manner a trait I see in people all around. Something I first grasped in long hours of the banquets, when after 16 hours of a shift that was still far from its end people turned on each other in hoplessness and despair, which were the result of exhaustion, primarily. That is: There is less genuine evil or malice in the world, less ill will or intent, than people think. It's their exhaustion and hoplessenss that drives people to beat up their wifes, throw the pets in the dumpster and sell their kids into slavery. Exhaustion and hoplessness. Both are eating at people for many years now and drives them to a ledge where they just wish that all may finally stop and find some ending, so that, if nothing can be saved – and it cannot, due to complexity and the individual wishes of those with a little more power than theirs – then all is better than enduring this limbo, this Great Now, this Never-ending Timelessness. Which is why they rather want things to crumble than to preserve and rebuild. Because it feels to them that rebuilding from the ashes somehow seems more *realistic* and *less* painful than to keep on trying. And I only hope they don't embrace this cheap exit. I'm far more #postdoom than one may realise, in both meanings of the word. A happy new year to you and Mrs. Dr. Omed. Did she play the reed organ in one of the tenshows lately?
#nuclear (given climate change its risks are minuscle compared to other means of electricity generation incl. renewables)
#peakrenewables (my hunch that, given supply issues, environmental impacts of mining and production, economic cost-benefit ratios, etc., we already face the peak of construction of renewables; idea: we're set to see a stagnation, even shrinking, not an increase in the construction of renewables)
#postdoom (not scientism nor blind faith in technical progress (which usually ignores the social fall-out) but the stance that the complexity of our world is the main source of hope and the main reason why the chatter of doom is less about reality but a psychology)
#rain (we have too little where I live; and I love its sound)
#renewables (mostly technical developments, liabilities, and economic viability)
#sources (instead of "bookmarks" a collection of info sources that caught my eyes)
#talkingtomyselflettingyoulisten (personal musings in which I develop (or rather: follow the trait of) thoughts and ideas; not to provoke, or troll, or to invite heated discussions)