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1. Embed this notice
   Tim Chambers (tchambers@indieweb.social)'s status on Tuesday, 23-Dec-2025 23:54:16 JST Tim Chambers

   My 2026 Open Social Web Predictions: https://www.timothychambers.net/2025/12/23/my-open-social-web-predictions.html

   • Embed this notice
     André Menrath (linos@graz.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 02:31:51 JST André Menrath

     in reply to

     @tchambers Things that also come 2026 thanks to #NLnet:

     #WordPress users will be able to create polls for the Fediverse.

     WordPress in combination with #GatherPress will offer federated RSVP for events.

     Interoperability of Events will improve, e.g. Mobilizon will be able to receive events from other applications.

     #Lauti, an event management tool for medium sized communities, will join the Fediverse.

   • Embed this notice
     Tim Chambers (tchambers@indieweb.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 02:33:24 JST Tim Chambers

     in reply to

     • André Menrath

     @linos These are all bringing such value to the Fediverse… #NLnet has been such a positive catalyst for the open social web.

   • Embed this notice
     Tim Chambers (tchambers@indieweb.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 03:41:36 JST Tim Chambers

     in reply to

     • Jon

     @jdp23 I did actually grade me on that one in my recent post evaluating exactly how each did. https://www.timothychambers.net/2025/12/20/my-open-social-web-prediction.html

     C+ to B- or so overall.

     But the point of these isn't always to be correct (tho I try) but to spur conversations and other additional predictions.

   • Embed this notice
     Jon (jdp23@neuromatch.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 03:41:38 JST Jon

     in reply to

     @tchambers Interesting as always! I'm curious, what grade would you give yourself on your 2025 predictions?

   • Embed this notice
     Tim Chambers (tchambers@indieweb.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 03:44:59 JST Tim Chambers

     in reply to

     • Felix Hlatky

     @mellifluousbox Good point on E2EE as a biggie I missed. I do think that will change a lot. And will fix the accidental double inclusion of Fediscovery, I think I moved it into a new catagory and forgot to remove the old one. Will fix.

   • Embed this notice
     Felix Hlatky (mellifluousbox@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 03:45:00 JST Felix Hlatky

     in reply to

     @tchambers Great list, thanks for doing this. Happy to be contributing to the fediverse in the year to come!

     E2EE DMs coming to the fediverse might be noteworthy (although it's almost a given it will be achieved). https://socialwebfoundation.org/2025/12/19/implementing-encrypted-messaging-over-activitypub/

     (Fediscovery is listed twice, by the way.)

   • Embed this notice
     Tim Chambers (tchambers@indieweb.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 04:03:30 JST Tim Chambers

     in reply to

     • Jon

     @jdp23 Churn will be an issue both platforms will need to grapple with next year. But both platforms have a pretty solid base to build on. But i do suspect the days of big exodus waves from X are done. Most that would leave and go somewhere else have.

   • Embed this notice
     Jon (jdp23@neuromatch.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 04:03:31 JST Jon

     in reply to

     @tchambers oops sorry, I hadn't seen that post -- thanks! Something that I don't think anybody (including me) predicted was that active usage of both Bluesky and the non-Threads ActivityPub Fediverse would decrease over the course 2025.

   • Embed this notice
     Mark R. Stoneman (markstoneman@zirk.us)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 04:46:02 JST Mark R. Stoneman

     in reply to

     @tchambers Whether you're right on all counts or not, that's an impressive amount of activity out there---and a correspondingly impressive list of predictions.

   • Embed this notice
     penyaskito (penyaskito@drupal.community)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 05:40:18 JST penyaskito

     in reply to

     @tchambers

     > HOT TAKE: At least one major national government or major city will launch an official presence on BOTH Bluesky AND the ActivityPub Fediverse in 2026 — and it will be a European government.

     Is
     https://ec.social-network.europa.eu/@EUCommission already considered?

   • Embed this notice
     Jörn Franke (jornfranke@mastodon.online)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 05:43:53 JST Jörn Franke

     in reply to

     • penyaskito

     @penyaskito @tchambers There is also https://social.bund.de - the mastodon instance of the German federal government

   • Embed this notice
     Tim Chambers (tchambers@indieweb.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 05:43:53 JST Tim Chambers

     in reply to

     • Jörn Franke
     • penyaskito

     @jornfranke @penyaskito Yes, this prediction is that a new entry will join.

   • Embed this notice
     Tim Chambers (tchambers@indieweb.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 14:33:08 JST Tim Chambers

     in reply to

     • Mastodon
     • Rimu
     • piefedadmin
     • dansup
     • Fedify: an ActivityPub server framework
     • A New Social
     • Surf
     • Bridgy Fed
     • ActivityPub for WordPress
     • AltStore
     • Ghost Explore

     @dansup @surf @Mastodon @piefedadmin @ghostexplore @rimu @activitypub.blog @anewsocial @fedify @fed.brid.gy @altstore Am feeling pretty good about my #piefed prediction: https://piefed.social/c/piefed_meta/p/1600132/piefed-1-4-is-released-emoji-federated-stackoverflow-and-ai-content-filters

   • Embed this notice
     Jared White (jaredwhite@indieweb.social)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 15:00:15 JST Jared White

     in reply to

     • Mastodon
     • Rimu
     • piefedadmin
     • dansup
     • Fedify: an ActivityPub server framework
     • A New Social
     • Surf
     • Bridgy Fed
     • ActivityPub for WordPress
     • AltStore
     • Ghost Explore

     @tchambers @dansup @surf @Mastodon @piefedadmin @ghostexplore @rimu @activitypub.blog @anewsocial @fedify @fed.brid.gy @altstore I'm so glad you mentioned PieFed! This has quickly become my second go-to fedi platform to use (number one being Mastodon of course). Hosting my own instance has been great, even though I mainly interact with remote communities—and that's sort of the point! Truly federated forums working quite well. Also a great client I often use: Voyager!

   • Embed this notice
     Pēteris Krišjānis (peteriskrisjanis@toot.lv)'s status on Wednesday, 24-Dec-2025 23:16:19 JST Pēteris Krišjānis

     in reply to

     @tchambers very insightful update about federated social platforming, thanks!

   • Embed this notice
     Tim Chambers (tchambers@indieweb.social)'s status on Friday, 26-Dec-2025 00:36:16 JST Tim Chambers

     in reply to

     • geraldew

     @geraldew They are still a major global content aggregator and content curator site and app - don’t know their presence in Australia, tho…

   • Embed this notice
     geraldew (geraldew@fosstodon.org)'s status on Friday, 26-Dec-2025 00:36:17 JST geraldew

     in reply to

     @tchambers the one that struck me as odd is Flipboard.

     Which prompts me to ask: is that app a USA-only phenomenon? I've never known anyone in Australia to ever mention it or even seem to be aware of it.

     Bearing in mind that's without me researching its international spread, but it felt worth posing as a naive question to understand your reasoning for the prediction.

   • Embed this notice
     Tim Chambers (tchambers@indieweb.social)'s status on Friday, 26-Dec-2025 08:08:43 JST Tim Chambers

     in reply to

     • Mastodon
     • Rimu
     • piefedadmin
     • dansup
     • Fedify: an ActivityPub server framework
     • A New Social
     • Surf
     • Bridgy Fed
     • ActivityPub for WordPress
     • AltStore
     • Ghost Explore

     @dansup @surf @Mastodon @piefedadmin @ghostexplore @rimu @activitypub.blog @anewsocial @fedify @fed.brid.gy I’m feeling good about my @altstore prediction - https://fosstodon.org/@altstore/115738607882188027