@whitequark I agree that today, coding assistants are broadly net-negative on productivity outside of some fairly simple and low-risk use cases, where they excel. I'm seeing value there already; things like report generation.
I think their future is the replacement of 3GLs for general purpose programming, but that will likely take at least years and possibly decades to occur (just like 3GLs did).
But today, I'm doing what I've always done. Experiment to see what works, and share what I find.