@anildash Thanks for this piece. I was wanting to link to it today but it looks like it's down?
Notices by Dan Provost (danprovost@mastodon.social)
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Dan Provost (danprovost@mastodon.social)'s status on Saturday, 14-Sep-2024 07:04:11 JST Dan Provost
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Dan Provost (danprovost@mastodon.social)'s status on Thursday, 09-Mar-2023 18:43:53 JST Dan Provost
@gruber “One of tech’s truisms that has no exceptions: We overestimate how much progress we can make in a year, and underestimate how much we can make in a decade.”
I also believe this to be true but I’ve been thinking of one exception recently. Imagine someone holding an iPhone 6 in 2014 and asking them how thin do they think phones will be in 2023. Based on the trajectory up until that point, they would have guessed, what, the thickness of a credit card? Who would have guessed it’d reverse?