Timing of rollout doesn't matter if the vaccine doesn't work (which it doesn't). That's a hypothetical number being marketed by people with various vested interests in the vaccines having positive results, it could just of easily have caused more deaths than it prevented.

All the vaccines, surgical masks and 6' social distancing in the world wouldn't even get the r(0) down to 1.. Pretty much everything that was told to us was totally ineffective at best, harmful at worst. It has caused a bunch of retards to spout shit like "masks don't work" and various other crap that is going to dramatically increase fatalities/damage on the next bioweapon release. The only thing we could've done to stop covid was thoroughly nuke china right at the start, as soon as it hit the major populations like africa it was already too far though. We've lost the war against viruses unless we can somehow reform the entire medical industry to care about something other than profit.. A lot of CEOs need to be Luigi'd.