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I'd argue not much would have changed.
We'd have a far weaker RHEL, thus maybe we would have a minimal systemd-like thing that is far more modular and no Gnome madness, since RHEL would have been way too financially weak to push its policies onto the wider community, it would need to keep itself on the good side of the userbase, being less able to pay for development, and being less pressured by company contracts
We probably would have some generalized kernel-only GPLv3-compliant drivers that would work with most things in a basic state, but you'd probably need to inject kernel modules or use some userspace driver things to install firmware and unlock all features. Basically Nvidia before it released the open source driver, but on a larger scale and in a more supported way, except on some pure distros
Android would still happen mostly the same
We'd have less corporate Linux and more desktop Linux