Conversation

Notices

1. Embed this notice
   Snowshadow (snowshadow@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 02:57:00 JST Snowshadow

   • HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

   Well, @HistoPol found this article that might explain the recent global outages

   #News #Internet #Outage #SocialMedia #Telecommunications

   https://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/underwater-data-cables-red-sea-cut-amid-houthi-107772629

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 02:56:58 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @NatureMC @Snowshadow

     Re-routing, perhaps?

   • Embed this notice
     Petra van Cronenburg (naturemc@mastodon.online)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 02:56:59 JST Petra van Cronenburg

     in reply to

     • HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     @Snowshadow @HistoPol That doesn't explain the difficulties between the USA and Europe.
     In The USA is "Super Tuesday" of the candidats, will say, a flood of comments hits a lot of declined, meanwhile often crappy servers (especially on Twitter). And then even more people comment on the down ... and it implodes.

   • Embed this notice
     Snowshadow (snowshadow@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 02:59:18 JST Snowshadow

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg
     • HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     @HistoPol More than likely.@NatureMC

   • Embed this notice
     Snowshadow (snowshadow@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 03:01:02 JST Snowshadow

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg
     • HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     @HistoPol At one point I counted 22 sites but now only Meta is affected.@NatureMC

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 03:16:52 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @NatureMC

     Formulating a hypothesis and then verifying or proofing it to be wrong is how even science advances. 😉

     The media are catching up:

     https://mstdn.social/@Free_Press/112044320820020245

     It might not be monocausal either:

     Cutting the cables, re-routing of traffic, and massive #US use might be a joint cause, too.

     We will find out eventually, I hope.

     @Snowshadow

   • Embed this notice
     Petra van Cronenburg (naturemc@mastodon.online)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 03:16:53 JST Petra van Cronenburg

     in reply to

     • HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     @HistoPol @Snowshadow If not even the media have reliable information, we should not speculate wildly. Zuckerberg has so far only officially reported that there are login problems. Let's take it as a blessing: All the fascists were shut down too.😊

     Decentralised networks have advantages.

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 03:22:26 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @Snowshadow

     #RedSeaWar #Houthis #Yemen #Strategy

     (1/2)

     ...where in fact I had been waiting for this to happen on a weekly basis.
     And so it did.

     What I do not understand:

     The #US, for instance, has repeatedly gone to war for trade and even mere oil.

     The #Houthis are causing a global crisis, exacerbated by the draught in the #Panama canal.

     I'm not sure about #Russia, but I'm pretty sure the #West, #SaudiArabia, and even #China are aligned on the #Houthi threat to...
     @NatureMC

   • Embed this notice
     Snowshadow (snowshadow@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 03:22:27 JST Snowshadow

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg
     • HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     @NatureMC We are not speculating wildly, if we were I am sure we could come up with some very interesting conspiracy theories rather than relying on news reports. Also, as I said, Downdetector reported up to 22 sites all were down, some sporadically, at the same time. Most are back up and running again.
     You sound like the person who a couple of weeks ago argued with me and insisted Houthis could not possibly attack the cables.@HistoPol

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 03:34:05 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @Snowshadow @NatureMC

     #WarInRedSea #NAFO #InfoSec #Houthis

     (2/3)

     ...global trade, suply chains, and thus prosperity.

     #Yemen has no military to speak of in comparison. I'm not a hawk, but *why is not "fire raining down" on the relevant costal regions of the country?*

     What is the maximum range of 90% of their wespon systems?!?

     "At the strategic level, the Houthis (likely with mentoring from Iran) have learned how to pull geopolitical levers through 👉medium-range ballistic missile ...👈..."

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 03:42:45 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @Snowshadow @NatureMC

     (3/n)

     ...strikes on #Riyad..."

     Stunning, how a small regional conflict "at the end of the world" can turn into a global crisis.

     Equally stunning, how the State Department has failed to act, having known of the magnitude of the problem:

     "#Pentagon officials knew as soon as the #Houthis started attacking ships in the #RedSea that they would be hard to tame."**

     Here is a partial answer to my question:...

     Source:
     https://ctc.westpoint.edu/houthi-war-machine-guerrilla-war-state-capture/

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 03:46:50 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @Snowshadow @NatureMC

     #RedSeaWar #Houthis #Yemen #Strategy

     (4/n)

     ..."the #Pentagon is trying to thread an impossibly tiny needle:

     making a dent in the #Houthis’ ability to hit commercial and Navy vessels without dragging the #UnitedStates into a prolonged war.

     It is a difficult task, made more so because the Houthis have perfected the tactics of irregular warfare, #American military officials say. 👉The group does not have many big weapons depots for American fighter jets to bomb —...

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 03:49:09 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @Snowshadow @NatureMC

     #RedSeaWar #Houthis #Yemen #Strategy

     (5/n)

     ...#Houthi fighters are constantly on the move with missiles they launch from pickup trucks on remote beaches👈 before hustling away."

     "The first barrage of American-led airstrikes nearly two weeks ago hit nearly 30 locations in #Yemen, destroying around 👉90 percent of the targets struck, Pentagon officials said. But even...

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 03:53:36 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @Snowshadow @NatureMC

     #RedSeaWar #Houthis #Yemen #Strategy

     (6/n)

     ...with that high success rate, the Houthis retained around 75 percent of their ability to fire missiles and drones at ships👈 transiting the Red Sea, those officials acknowledged."

     "After nearly a decade of #Saudi airstrikes, the 👉#Houthis are skilled at concealing what they have, putting some of their launchers and...

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 03:54:48 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @Snowshadow @NatureMC

     #RedSeaWar #Houthis #Yemen #Strategy

     (7/n)

     ...weaponry in urban areas and shooting missiles from the backs of vehicles👈 or tractors before scooting off.

     And the weapons that are destroyed are soon replaced by #Iran, as a never-ending stream of dhows ferry more weaponry into #Yemen, #US officials say."

     "The Houthis are believed to have had 👉underground assembly and manufacturing sites👈 even before the civil war began in Yemen in 2014.

     The militia seized...

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 04:01:25 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @Snowshadow @NatureMC

     #RedSeaWar #Houthis #Yemen #Strategy

     (8/n)

     ...the country’s army arsenal when it took over #Sana, the capital, a decade ago. Since then, it 👉has amassed a diverse and increasingly lethal arsenal of cruise and ballistic missiles and one-way attack drones👈, most supplied by #Iran, military analysts said."

     "That leaves the #UnitedStates and its coalition partners with only three viable options, given the parameters of President #Biden’s...

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 04:02:16 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @Snowshadow @NatureMC
     #RedSeaWar #Houthis #Yemen #Strategy

     (9/9)
     ...strategic aims in #Yemen, military analysts say.
     
     They could commandeer the weapons coming by sea from #Iran;
     find the missiles, which requires extensive intelligence;
     or attack the launch sites."

     *And why not, someone tell me, "simply" lay waste to all coastal roads in the region?*

     Any remaining Yemenite civilians could be warned beforehand, e.g. by dropping flyers, radio briloadcasts, etc.

     https://archive.is/RPp3k

   • Embed this notice
     HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴 (histopol@mastodon.social)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 04:09:43 JST HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     in reply to

     • Petra van Cronenburg

     @NatureMC

     I understood it the same way. 😉

     #OffTopic

     In fact, I've come to realize that the pronoun "we" is used quite differently in different languages.

     For instance, I often correct speakers of #Slavic languages when they use "we" in a Western language, but it would need to be "Peter and I," etc. when talking about past events where the listener was not part of the story.

     @Snowshadow

   • Embed this notice
     Petra van Cronenburg (naturemc@mastodon.online)'s status on Wednesday, 06-Mar-2024 04:09:44 JST Petra van Cronenburg

     in reply to

     • HistoPol (#HP) 🥥 🌴

     @Snowshadow Sorry, my "we" was not meant as real persons, just for a situation (perhaps "one" would be the correct English?) I wanted to say that it's too early to talk about reasons.

     But nice that you know what I know or have in my mind. Mindreading? 😉
     Sometimes it's just a matter of my bad English.

     @HistoPol