This is good news for the growth of the #Fediverse, but there's a caveat.
Other than on mastodon.social, Mastodon sign-ups are slowing down. In my own estimation, the majority of Mastodon servers aren't experiencing any growth -- and many are losing servers.
At one point, https://joinmastodon.org was critical to driving sign-ups amongst many Mastodon servers. But from what numerous admins tell me, sign-ups from there have slowed to a trickle.
With https://home.social closing down soon, I fear this is a harbinger for more big server shutdowns. That is, unless something is done.
However, Mastodon isn't the entirety of the story.
It looks like *key apps are spurring more user adoption.
#Misskey is now the 2nd most used Fediverse software after Mastodon.
And within a month, #Calckey has nearly doubled in size -- despite the flagship server (which I admin) overcoming a few key challenges.
Of course, the arrival of #Barcelona will change everything. How? I don't entirely know.
But now with 12 million Mastodon users, it's time for the next chapter of the Fediverse.
@atomicpoet that bot is not substracting users of Mastodon servers that are gone. Current Mastodon users of *alive* servers are around 7,614,000, according with @fediverse@mastodonusercount
@atomicpoet@mastodonusercount Saying that Mastodon is dying because of lower signup-rates is like saying email is dying because fewer people are using Outlook.
However, that's neither here nor there. The more interesting data point is: if 12 million Mastodon accounts have been created, why is only 9 million "alive"?
I have a few thoughts about this, but that's for another day.
@atomicpoet@mastodonusercount Sorry, that's just me extrapolating. My main point is that people/the press is confusing mastodon and the fediverse. Mastodon is equivalent to Outlook, not email. But you know that, of course.
@atomicpoet@mastodonusercount Honest question, why does the growth rate of the Fediverse matter? It was out there doing no growth for years. I don't think any platform will maintain the growth rate that they've had because of the Twitter break down. I want to understand why the urgency and what that does for the fediverse in the short term.
@atomicpoet@mastodonusercount The problem with huge server maintenance costs is that most people would just rather sell their data or have ads intead of paying up monthly feed or donations. But servers aren't free... Yet people have gotten used to the idea of free websites, videos, blogs, chats etc. so all the voluntary payment stuff is kind of off-putting. Signal's constant donate-nagging is especially irritating. Telegram doesn't do that... nor does WhatsApp.
@goatsarah@thegoatery.dyndns.org your experience is probably typical. Most misskey users are on misskey.io and other Japan-focused sites so mostly federate with other Japan-focused sites.