Notices by Brian Marick (marick@mstdn.social)

@inthehands @mhoye Unless I misunderstand, that’s included in the article:

'instead showed that both experts and novices underestimate and overestimate their skills with the same frequency. “It’s just that experts do that over a narrower range,” he wrote to me.’

@inthehands Potoooooooo has a passing mention in one of Patrick O’Brian’s “Jane Austen with Naval Battles” novels (/Desolation Island/). One of the main characters says, while talking of horses, “Oh yes, indeed. His grandfather owned Potoooooooo, so it’s in the blood.” Given it’s a weird name, and O’Brian’s penchant for odd historical facts (“double bottomed defecator”), I looked it up. It was thus that I became a fan of Potoooooooo.

@inthehands Yes. Sorry.

Clever thread. https://xoxo.zone/@artlung/116137695999372370

@inthehands An aside. When people used to ask Dawn wasn’t it hard to treat animals because “they can’t tell you what’s wrong,” she’d answer that they also can’t lie about it. She thought the latter probably outweighed the former.

@inthehands @deborahh Donated. Thanks.

What can people do who are outside Minneapolis / St. Paul do to help the residents in their efforts to stop ICE? Donate dash cams? To whom? Etc.

@deborahh @inthehands Thanks. I meant to tag him.

Sometimes it’s the little things, the straw that breaks the camel’s back. I hope.

“I was going to school!” the 16-year-old citizen protested.

They choke-hold-ed him, then:

“Agents had taken his phone. He used Find My to locate the phone — at a vending machine for used electronics miles away, close to an ICE detention center.”

They took his phone and sold it.

https://www.propublica.org/article/videos-ice-dhs-immigration-agents-using-chokeholds-citizens

“At long last, have you no decency?”

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oc6Yo3A7CC8

There is much news out of Minneapolis. I hear no news out of St. Paul. But they’re, um, the same city, aren’t they?

Is ICE or their overseers actually respecting lines on maps?

(I don’t buy this completely – it makes it hard to explain individual variability except as a “sensitive dependence on initial conditions.” However, I believe people would understand intellectual progress better if they paid more attention to group causation and indulged less in hero worship.

(The thing about Popper and Lakatos is that they fervently believe in the 10X scientist and think the mass of scientists contribute little that matters.) (2/2)

“[There is] a continual search for the source of thought within the individual himself and for the reasons why he thinks in a particular way and not in any other. […] What actually thinks within a person is not the individual himself but his social community [and] the very social atmosphere he ‘breathes.’ His mind is structured, and necessarily so, under the influence of this ever-present social environment, and *he cannot think in any other way*.”

– Ludwig Gumplowicz… (1/2)

@GeePawHill *spoiler* Nothing Gold Can Stay, Robert Frost

https://www.poetryfoundation.org/poems/148652/nothing-gold-can-stay-5c095cc5ab679

Something I wonder about. When it comes to LLMs, it’s often said that the shareholders or “Mr. Market” are demanding its use. What’s the *structure* of that demand? How is it made known to CEOs? It’s sure not coming from me and my Vanguard Total Stock Market index fund. Is it rather an individualistic thing with, say, hedge fund managers?

If so: OK, sure. CEOs are responding rationally to investor pressure. But why is that particular set of investors making that particular irrational demand?

RSS readers are the new hotness. Don’t be the last one on your block to get one. https://indieweb.social/@NetNewsWire/115499170266493062

The Washington Post, desperate to survive the wave of subscriber cancelations due to Jeff Bezos deciding he knows best, adopts The Guardian typo-heavy model.¹

After all, the WaPo was founded 56 years after the Grauniad, so – as a now-reactionary paper – it’s only fitting it revert to a history The Guardian has long since left behind.

¹ https://londontrends.uk/what-is-a-grauniad-uk-news-most-famous-typo-explained https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:a5fwvpvub5e7mxaebuxn3tuu/post/3m3ur64sods25

Oops, that was supposed to be a quote-post linking to this:

https://fed.brid.gy/r/https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:a5fwvpvub5e7mxaebuxn3tuu/post/3m3ur64sods25

@inthehands @sandofsky @ayanonagon Words cannot express my admiration for your poem, sir.

@vy @inthehands Could split the difference. Yes, King is nominally not a Democrat, but in the way I’m not a Democrat. Not a formal member of the party, but ‘cmon: which party do I *act* like I’m a part of?

And, “I, an abortion rights advocate, asked my good buddy Josh Hawley who I should vote for, and gosh darn it he *deceived* me” sure sounds like a Democratic Senator. Such as my senior senator, Dick “comity” Durbin, who is thankfully retiring. (1/3)

@vy @inthehands Re: Durbin’s confirmations. In Greenspan’s term: “With notably rare exceptions”, such as the Muslim candidate who got zorched for the 3d circuit vacancy, which was left unfilled for Emil Bove to fill.

I think reasonable people can disagree about how effective the Democratic leadership has been. I think they’ve been ineffective, have not risen to the occasion. I *don’t* think any reasonable person can think they’ve executed anything close to flawlessly in the last… lotta years.