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@tuban_muzuru @rysiek @futurebird Okay help me out here. You somehow do your experiment 100,000 times: deal cards face-up from a face-down shuffled deck, stopping when you get to an ace. You then calculate the probability of the next card also being an ace.

But the next card is never an ace. All 100,000 iterations of the game, it's an indifferent card. You then learn you could have done it an *infinite* number of times, and still have never seen a second ace. The actual probability is 0.

Why?