@jeffcliff @placebo @brittbratt_fingerpuppet @feralphilosophernc Jeff, what would it take for you to believe the vaccine didn't work? Like, what would you accept as disproving the null hypothesis.

For my side, if I were seeing young, healthy people who didn't get vaxxed dying at high rate and vaxxed not contracting the coof, I would think that it is plausible to probable that the vax worked. (And as I perceive no such thing happening, I think at best the vax did nothing - but suspect it is killing folks.)

Is your reaction because you are seeing the same thing as all of us but interpreting it through a set of priors that lead you to your position, or can you point to something we aren't seeing. I assume it is the prior.