If the election were held today, Biden loses Michigan and Virginia. The Biden campaign has said as much.
The Biden admin's hope is that the Black and Arab/Muslim/Palestinian voters will "come around" between now and November. Their hope is that the Gaza hostilities would be "wrapped up*" by them, and that Gazans would run Gaza.
But that's not Netanyahu's plan. It has never been his plan. Netanyahu has now said as much, publicly. So Biden is in a bind.
(*Disgusting euphemism)