Not true.
At this point I think we're talking past each other?
I'm agreeing with your points *up until the Biden admin response to Oct 7th*.
Since then, there has been a *massive* change in voter enthusiasm in Michigan and Virginia that liberals are not acknowledging is real. It is entirely possible that two voting blocks that delivered these uplifts in turnout: Black voters and Arab/Muslim/Palestinian voters, will not perform the same heroics for Biden in November.