Those local election wins were based on record turnout in response to concern over reproductive rights. And the turnout increases in Virginia were disproportionately Black.
A suppressive effect on Black voter turnout, runs this effect in reverse.
And unfortunately, it's a stretch to connect "I want to be able to have reproductive rights for myself." with "I won't vote for Trump." Many of the GOP women that voted for Trump (twice!), were pro-choice. 🙂🙃