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    Linux Walt (@lnxw37j1) {3EB165E0-5BB1-45D2-9E7D-93B31821F864} (lnxw37j1@gnusocial.jp)'s status on Monday, 04-Nov-2024 11:50:56 JST Linux Walt (@lnxw37j1) {3EB165E0-5BB1-45D2-9E7D-93B31821F864} Linux Walt (@lnxw37j1) {3EB165E0-5BB1-45D2-9E7D-93B31821F864}
    • simsa03
    RE: https://gnusocial.jp/notice/7680002

    @simsa03 Thanks for posting this. I hadn't seen it.
    In conversation about 7 months ago from web permalink

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    1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: gnusocial.jp
      simsa03 (simsa03@gnusocial.jp)'s status on Monday, 04-Nov-2024 03:36:35 JST - GNU social JP
      Harry Dempsey, "World’s largest transformer maker warns of supply crunch" https://www.ft.com/content/a0fa2e61-b684-42b7-bd12-6b9d7c28285c « Transformers had long been readily available within six to eight months when manufacturers suffered from a glut for years, but demand in the $48bn market has suddenly rocketed. Its size is expected to reach $67bn by 2030, according to estimates by consultancy Rystad Energy. Utilities wanting to buy the key piece of electrical infrastructure would now have to wait three to four years if they have not reserved one already, said Schierenbeck, formerly CEO of German energy company Uniper. The supply chain bottleneck is another pinch point for power systems struggling with surging growth in electricity generation and ageing infrastructure. In particular, the expanding share of renewables in the electricity mix in some markets requires more transmission equipment because they are often located far from users and produce power from more dispersed sources than traditional electricity plants. That has created an urgent need to upgrade the grid to tackle huge waiting lists for new projects to connect to networks, as regulators struggle to cope with the major power system overhaul that decarbonising requires. » #energy #infrastructure #renewables #peakrenewables
    • Embed this notice
      simsa03 (simsa03@gnusocial.jp)'s status on Monday, 04-Nov-2024 11:59:16 JST simsa03 simsa03
      in reply to
      The problem is even worse (although mentioned in the article) with the grid-transition taking place to service household-to-grid and vehicle-to-grid approaches. See https://gnusocial.jp/notice/7399225
      The electricity transition to renewables needs a completely different, that is: modular, grid structure. For that transformers are essential and, if the article is right, short in supply. Given the currend grid structure, this creates a further bottleneck exacerbating the problems culminating in #peakrenewables.
      In conversation about 7 months ago permalink

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      1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: gnusocial.jp
        simsa03 (simsa03@gnusocial.jp)'s status on Sunday, 06-Oct-2024 12:01:04 JST - GNU social JP
        Which is fine as long as not too many private households sell electricity back to the grid. Not only are there the issues @feld mentions, the more general problem ist that (at least in Europe where I live) the various grid systems are top-down and in need of constant balancing: • Transmission grids (high voltage 220kV or 380 kV) large distance transportation of electricity • Distribution grids: transports electricity at high (60 kV to 220 kV), medium (6 kV to 60 kV) and low voltages (230 V or 400 V). In this top-down structure voltage has to be transformed down from higher voltages to lower voltages. Usually, homeowners with their solar-to-grid installation feed their electricity at the lowest voltage back into the grid. In order to counter fluctuations in the number of feeding sources as well as their quantities of electricity, the net stability has to be guaranteed by re-dispatch: shutting on and off of various feeders and consumers under the primacy of keeping the net frequency constant (otherwise there will be brown-outs with large sections of the grid shutting down). Every re-dispatch costs a lot of money (which has to be paid by all consumers) and endangers the net stability. And the more households feed back their electricity into the grid, the more instable the net and the more expensive its balancing becomes. Current grid and net structures can accomodate for up to 30% electricity from renewables. Otherwise, due to fluctuation, net balancing becomes so difficult and expensive that brown-outs become frequent. Adding household-to-grid (e.g., via private solar) or vehicle-to-grid (via car batteries) endangers the overall supply with electricity and increases the electricity prices for industries. Also not to be ignored: The cost for the re-dispatches to keep the net frequency stable is paid by all consumers. That is: Those who sell their electricity back to the grid can only do so because others pay more for the costs that arise from keeping the net stable than what the feeders pay. I thus would be very careful to cheer any "down-towards-upwards" feed of electricity. The #infrastructure is not there for such "localized" electricity "production".
      Linux Walt (@lnxw37j1) {3EB165E0-5BB1-45D2-9E7D-93B31821F864} likes this.

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