The people that vote for the Oscars, don't look like the people that watch the films. The Academy is much older, whiter, and dude-ier*. Oscar winners, are the inevitable outcome of Oscar voters.
The question isn't "Has the Academy changed enough to where filmmakers from marginalized backgrounds have the same chance to win an Oscar yet?"
The question is "Will the Oscars have the same relevance to society 10 years from now, that they do today?"
(*In 2022, 81% white, 67% men.)