Twitter will stay the dominant media-fed and media-driven social platform at least in the US.
Bluesky won't make it. Investors will soon realize that it is a scam, nothing else.
The Fediverse will grow slowly and organically. More from Europe than other parts of the world.
#Mastodon will blow up because all its major instances will be hit by a simultaneous multi-day spam bot attack leading to Amazon #AWS blocking all traffic to&from Mastodon instances and there is nothing they can do about it because Eugen was busy implementing #Twitter UX into Mastodon Mobile Apps
The Emacs.ch instance will move to a self-developed #CommonLisp fork of Mastodon (with a Non-Mastodon logo due to a trademark feud) that employs AI algorithms from the PAIP book, get's rid of all #JavaScript (because it is non-free) and is mainly used by users of the #mastodonEL#Emacs package
Its operator will launch a second donations page begging for money to be able to buy two expensive #LispWorks HobbyistDV licenses because lispm from Reddit told him that this unparalleled, magical Lisp productivity is only gained with a superior IDE
There will be heated discussions between factions of the Common Lisp and the Emacs Elisp community about their Lisp being the better, faster and "most free" one
@amszmidt will chime in and do another "Emacs Lisp is not a Lisp - Bite me" post which generates so much traffic that the Emacs.ch instance will blow up in flames and its operator will eventually convert to a #Microsoft fanboy running an ancient fork of #FidoNet written in Omicron Pascal (but converted to #Delphi), hosted on a WinXP machine with IIS and #SQLServer2008.
Can't see it happening, the vast majority of twitter users left don't care what musk does, it has critical mass so unless it breaks completely they won't move
@louis@dekkzz76@shelenn@deadbeef What? Emacs Lisp is definitely Lisp. But we all know how Mastodon will win, that is by running on a #LispMachine. That is the only way Mastodon can have free users ...