"Be a time traveller. Manage today's crisis. But strategize for tomorrow." - Futurist Jim Carroll
Downturns are not just economic events. They are stress tests for leadership.
When pressure builds, plans unravel. Priorities scatter. Noise takes over. People panic. That’s when some leaders retreat—shrinking their vision, delaying decisions, or hoping someone else will take the next step. But others stay grounded. They hold the line—for their teams, their strategy, and their purpose.
This is real resilience. Not slogans. Not survival But the ability to move across time—anchoring the present, while building for the future.
You have to be a time traveller: respond to the moment, while keeping your eyes locked on what comes next. Resilient leaders don’t just manage the current crisis —they hold it together until the future arrives.
Here’s what the data shows from past downturns:
- the most resilient organizations didn’t retreat into reactive cycles. - they didn’t discard their long-term vision under short-term fear. - they remained disciplined on costs and intentional on growth. - they protected their people, their customers, and their momentum—not just their margins.
The fact is, while they managed the crisis in real time, they never lost sight of the bigger arc.
- they thought across multiple time horizons at once: - they actively manage today. - all while preparing for tomorrow. - and positioning for the rebound that always comes.
They didn’t flinch. But they didn’t charge blindly either. They led with calm, communicated with transparency, and made decisions that reflected long-term confidence — not panic.
That’s the essence of future-ready leadership.
So as the pressure rises, the question is simple: Are you retreating—or reinforcing? Are you in one time zone or several?
Because the leaders who shape what’s next aren’t the ones with the boldest slogans. They’re the ones who stay clear, steady, and focused—while keeping one foot in the future.
Be a time traveller.
Manage the crisis.
But never stop building what’s next.
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Futurist Jim Carroll is sharing his insight on resilience and leadership in this series. You can find the full archive, as it unfolds, at https://tomorrow.jimcarroll.com
"Inertia feels safe. Until it isn’t. Innovation feels risky. Until it wins." - Futurist Jim Carroll
Uncertainty rewards the inventive, not the indifferent.
Recessions test everything—strategy, structure, and above all, mindset.
You are going through all that right now with the wild whiplash of this moment in time. You can't easily define strategies straight in a world in which one moment the world is up and the next is down. You can't figure out a path forward when the path keeps changing. You can't plant a flag on a foundation of certainty where there is none.
But what you can do is commit to investing in your future through innovation.
Think about it - when the world turns volatile, most companies do the typical thing - they freeze. They cut everything. Delay everything. Protect what was. Go into a mode of delay. But others take a different route: they innovate—not recklessly, but intentionally. They adapt their offerings, reframe their markets, and lean into change.
History tells us who wins.
In past downturns, the most resilient companies continued to invest in R&D, product development, and digital transformation, even as they restructured costs elsewhere. They embraced frugal innovation—creating smarter, leaner, more relevant solutions with limited resources. They used the moment to reimagine offerings for evolving customer needs.
They didn’t innovate in spite of the crisis. They innovated because of it.
These companies weren’t reckless. They were strategic.
They used volatility as a forcing function to rethink how they deliver value—and to whom.
And the results speak for themselves - they:
- captured market share: Outpaced competitors by staying relevant during volatility.
- deepened customer loyalty: Met changing needs with smarter, faster solutions.
- reimagined offerings: Pivoted products and services to fit the moment.
- streamlined structures: Transformed operations to move with greater speed.
- accelerated disruption: Fast-tracked innovation that would’ve taken years otherwise.
Meanwhile, those that chose inertia? Most never caught up. Because innovation isn’t a luxury for good times. It’s a necessity for what comes next.
In the end, volatility favors those willing to reinvent—while inertia quietly takes the rest out of the game.
Which side of the curve will you be on?
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Futurist Jim Carroll spoke on resilience and innovation in uncertainty at dozens of leadership meetings post ’01, again in ’08, and guided organizations again in ’20. He’s developed a comprehensive overview of how to move forward, not back, during an era of uncertainty. It’s being shared here and documented at https://tomorrow.jimcarroll.com
“If you want to be part of what’s next, leave your nostalgia at the door" - Futurist Jim Carroll
You need to commit.
Yesterday, or tomorrow?
I know where I'm going. It's in my job description.
Think about it - at this very moment, we’re witnessing a battle playing out everywhere—across boardrooms, governments, industries, at parties and sports events and family get togethers. The battle is being driven by a vainglorious and ill-fated desire to try to take things back to where they were - not to where they are going.
And one of the most important things you need. to do is make your decision - and stick to it - as to where you are headed.
It's a battle of vision vs. nostalgia.
Of strategy vs. sentimentality.
Of building what’s next vs. longing for what was.
It's really not a fair fight.
We’ve reached a point where the familiar is failing - old industries are dying, old skills are becoming irrelevant, old knowledge is going out of date, old jobs are disappearing. In the context of that? New industries, skills, knowledge, jobs - and new opportunities.
It's called disruptive change, and it is very real. The new rule is that older stable ideas aren’t stable. Playbooks that were once reliable aren’t playable. Assumptions and strategies that served the past no longer serve the future. The fact is, the world’s moving faster than our old systems were designed to handle.
And yet—some still cling to the comfort of past success like it’s a security blanket.
But nostalgia is not a strategy. It’s a sedative.
Recessions and disruptions are not the time to shrink your ambition.
They’re a time to reshape it.
So ask yourself: Are you holding onto what used to work—or reaching for what could?
"In times of chaos and fear, purposeful action is power" - Futurist Jim Carroll
Act boldly. Fear feeds on hesitation.
Think about this moment. Confidence is fragile. Every headline screams volatility.
And just like that, a wave of fear rolls in—bringing hesitation, doubt, and paralysis.
Are you letting the fear freeze your future?
Have you become the deer in the headlights?
But here’s the truth: the antidote to anxiety is action.
While others freeze, you can move.
While some debate what might go wrong, you can start building what could go right.
While people wait for signs an upturn, you can create your own little upturn, simply by acting.
Fear loves hesitation. It grows stronger when you pause, wait, scroll endlessly, or convince yourself that “now isn’t the time.” It thrives in your indecision, matures in the recesses of your uncertainty, and becomes a cancer in your inaction.
But bold action—no matter how small—immediately puts you back in the driver’s seat. It shifts your mindset from 'overwhelmed' to 'engaged.' It puts you in control. It gets you out of your doom cycle. It brings you back from focusing on where you are - to building momentum for where you could be.
You don’t have to launch a moonshot to make a difference. You don't need some huge stretch goal. You don't need to be chasing some grand vision. You just have to move:
Learn something new.
Start that project.
Test the idea.
Build the prototype.
Say yes.
Momentum beats perfection. Progress quiets panic. Action beats fear. We are not victims of the future. We are its architects—if we choose to be.
So when the uncertainty rises, meet it with motion.
When fear whispers “not yet,” answer back: “Watch me.”
Because the future doesn’t wait.
And neither should you.
What are you waiting for?
---- Futurist Jim Carroll knows that action is the antitode to every moment of volatility.
"The long arc of the future always rewards the resilient!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
It is what it is. We are where we are. This moment in 2025 feels like a bad dream to many, and the assault on the global economy was a tipping point for many worldwide. With that in mind, I'm devoting the next few weeks of my Daily Inspiration to addressing a key question: How do we lead through uncertainty. How do we lead ourselves - what's our mindset? How do we lead others - how can we help? How do we lead our organizations - how do we keep moving forward? I spent a lot of time on this theme during and after the downturns of 2001, 2008 and again during 2020. There is a lot to revisit, and a lot to think about. The theme is 'resilience,' and we can all learn more about.
We’re living through an era where it feels like the very idea of progress is under siege.
Science is questioned. Facts are ignored. Bold ideas are met with backlash. Funding is cut. In parts of the world—especially in the U.S.—there’s a growing, dangerous desire to rewind the clock. It’s an effort to return to some imaginary "better time," rather than confronting the future with the courage and creativity it demands.
And yet—despite it all—the future hasn’t stopped moving forward.
You can delay progress. You can defund it. You can deny it. You can hammer it with ill-advised or even idiotic decisions.But you can’t delete it.
Never forget that fact, and act accordingly.
Don't give in. Don't give up. Don't give way.
The long arc of innovation always bends forward. History is clear on this: the future always finds a way.
It’s tempting, especially now, to be disillusioned. To believe the cynics are winning. To think progress is on pause. It's easy to let fear strike us every day, stunning us into frozen disbelief.
But don’t confuse noise for momentum. The future doesn’t follow headlines. It follows courage, capital, and conviction. And all three are still alive and well—albeit a bit battered and bruised. But they are still there.
As a futurist, I’ve always said the future belongs to those who are fast. But today, I’d add this: it also belongs to those who refuse to flinch.
If some people want to step back from the future—that’s their choice.
You? Step forward. The future is still yours— ours— to build.
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Futurist Jim Carroll gets up every morning, checking the headlines, seeking the answer to the same question. You know what it is.
"Resilience is learned. Not just taught" - Futurist Jim Carroll
Lessons from my family: It's all about attitude management, proactive anticipation, courage restoration, resourcefulness, decisive action, agile thinking, maintaining optimism, and reframing trends as opportunities rather than threats.
I have so much to learn from my sons and daughters-in-law!
I'm reflecting on this today as the youngest of my two sons turns 30. Here's on the far right in the photo.
While I spend a lot of time on a lot of stages speaking about resilience, I've had the opportunity to witness the development of resilience firsthand with the evolution of their careers and lives.
Each of them has faced some type of significant career challenge at some point in their lives. Rather than giving into despair, I've watched as they've nurtured themselves with hope, determination, and action. The spirit they've shown through these times has taught me something about myself and has offered me lessons on how I too can nurture my spirit of resilience.
Here's what I've seen - as their careers underwent the typical - and sometimes untypical - twists and turns of life, they never gave up. They never gave in. They fought back. In doing so, they become the fountain of wisdom that has helped to nurture my soul, feed my optimism, and fuel my determination. When I talk about resilience in my keynotes, I often draw from global business examples.
But today, I want to share something more personal - how my sons and daughters-in-law have embodied the resilience principles I've advocated for years.
"You can always chase away the season of gloom by pursuing the data of hope!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
So let's talk about what I call the 'season of gloom' and the new phrase that is sweeping the tech and AI world, 'vibe coding.'
It turns out that I'm in the midst of the former and have been doing the latter.
The 'season of gloom?' That's what I call this period between the end of ski season and the start of golf. Some folks call it other things, and some are not fit for sharing. According to one chart, yesterday we were in the midst of our third winter.
Yesterday, we had a massive little mini-blizzard, ice pellets, freezing rain, rain - and then just now, overnight, some pretty massive thunderstorms. Golf can't start soon enough! I try to manage my despair by opening my pool in just over a week for a quick swim.
I also try to keep my optimism for spring in check by following various long-range weather forecasts to try to get a sense of when we might emerge from the gloom. I have, for many years, been trying to teach myself to understand these long-range weather patterns by studying various weather model forecast maps. To do that this year, I've been doing a bit of 'vibe coding' - I just created my nifty new long-range weather page which I built using AI. You can visit it at https://weather.beingoblio.com/longrange.html
This little page lets me access various long-range weather models, to get a sense of what might be happening with the weather 10 to 14 days out. There's not a lot of consistency in weather predictions that far out, but this can be used to get a sense of where there is some agreement and where might find ourselves in terms of the jet stream, temperature patterns, high and low-pressure systems, and more. (Click the little 'i' icon and you can get a description of each map.) I'm using it to try to chase away the gloom, by understanding what the weather might look like two weeks out - hence, today's quote. I'm waiting for a real spring vibe to kick in.
I've never had more fun writing my 41st and 42nd books! I tackle what I've seen in 30 years of examining innovation success and innovation failure, and have wrapped them into two concise overviews that go hand in hand.
Today, I'm getting images together for Escaping Mediocrity, arriving by May 15, while watching sales for Embracing Mediocrity, which is already in print.
"Decision fatigue? Simplicity overcomes complexity every time" - Futurist Jim Carroll
A shoutout to Christa Haberstock for giving me the idea!
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Each month, I do an email blast to the various speaker bureau folks who have booked me through the years - about 260 people at this point,.
With that being the case, I've come to keep my message - a key way of keeping them up to date - shorter and to the point..
Here's what I sent yesterday. It speaks for itself with powerful guidance that can apply to just about anything.
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Decision fatigue is real. Breaking through is what matters!
Let's talk about why clients can't make up their minds in 2025!
Noticed clients taking forever to pick speakers lately? It's not you - it's decision fatigue!
I remember seeing a post somewhere on LinkedIn recently that something like 1.5 million people have either 'speaker' or 'keynote speaker' in their profile - no wonder clients are feeling overwhelmed.
This is making it difficult for them to select a speaker - and this is combined with the decision fatigue they are already facing.
Decision Fatigue? What's that?
In my 30+ years of speaking about leadership and innovation, I've often shared insights with audiences about the issues people have with making decisions. Here's what I know - simply put, our brains get tired after making too many choices. Each decision uses mental energy, and eventually, we run out of gas. When we run out of gas, we do the easiest thing possible - we stop making decisions.
Recent studies highlight just how real this problem is:
One study suggests we spend 50% of our working day making decisions
- We make 100+ significant decisions daily, plus thousands of micro-choices (emails, word choices, etc.)
- Decision quality drops by up to 40% after making multiple back-to-back decisions
- 73% of professionals report postponing important decisions due to mental fatigue
I've also noticed that decision paralysis becomes significantly worse during periods of volatility.
Back in 2002, I identified what was happening in the meetings and events industry as what I called "aggressive indecision" - people simply refusing to commit to anything due to overwhelming uncertainty.
I think that's where we are at right now.
By the time they're looking at your speaker options, they've already made too many decisions that day. Their brain is basically saying, "Not another choice!"
No wonder they ghost you after initially seeming excited!
They make the decision easy by deferring it, avoiding it, and not thinking about it.
Here's how to make it easier for mentally drained clients - make it easy for them to make decisions.
"Bumper sticker explanations of complicated issues are usually wildly inaccurate!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
There are a lot of people with instant insight on everything and yet who are experts at nothing.
Isn't that the way it goes?
If you spend any time talking with anyone today, it would seem that they are suddenly experts on tariffs and their impact on regional, national, and local economies. Everyone is offering up concise statements of what it means, where it will go, and what will happen. I prefer to listen to global trade experts and economists - folks who are trained in this stuff. In the same way, I'd rather listen to a PhD in vaccine medicine than some quack who gets his information off an obscure conspiracy theorist's Website.
That's why ideas like "trickle-down economics will work" statements are always such a false promise. The notion that tax cuts for the wealthy and corporations automatically benefit everyone has been repeatedly challenged by economic research showing limited "trickle-down" effects and increasing wealth inequality. And yet the bumper sticker wisdom lives on.
Why does this happen?
"Bumper sticker" phrases - catchy one-liners about complex issues - sacrifice accuracy for memorability. They fail to address the multiple perspectives, historical context, systemic factors, competing values, and technical details that complex problems involve. They often aren't based on much more than opinions.
The fact is, oversimplifying leads to:
- Overlooking cause-effect complexities
- Creating false either/or scenarios
- Substituting emotion for analysis
- Reinforcing existing beliefs
Good leaders know when simplicity works and when issues demand a deeper explanation. They engage with complexity and guide others through it thoughtfully. They also know that while bumper-sticker wisdom can be popular, it causes more problems than good.
Ironically, my statement about bumper stickers is itself a bumper sticker - though one that points out its limitations!
Futurist Jim Carroll is willing to admit that perhaps many of his Daily Inspiration posts contain bumper-sticker wisdom. He lives and owns the contradiction.
"The future is an attitude!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
It's Monday morning. What are you waiting for?
With that being the case, why not have an image where I'm staring up into a teleportation portal? It's my future, and I get to imagine it!
You should do the same thing.
If you're feeling too comfortable right now with the future, you probably aren't thinking hard enough about the trends that will reshape your reality. You need to be scared; you need to be nervous; you need to have big ideas; you need to stretch your imagination; you need to be prepared to accept that everything is going to change—and most importantly, you need to be ready for action. After all, there might one day be teleportation portals - not in our life, but sometime!
That's why you need to think about this simple fact - the future isn't just. something you Watch - it's something you embody. The future is an attitude. While everyone else is busy tracking trends and technologies, they're missing something crucial: it's not just about knowing what's coming—it's about how you approach it, internalize it, and act on it.
The most successful people don't just observe the future; they have a mindset that embraces it and takes immediate steps to make it real. Anyone can read about emerging trends, but those who truly thrive in tomorrow's world cultivate specific attitudes that transform challenges into opportunities—and then act on them without hesitation. With that being the case, think about the mindsets that will help you stay ahead.
And most important - do something today - right now - Monday morning - that will get you moving! Here are 10 ideas you should think about right now - and 10 things you should commit to doing THIS MORNING.
---- Later this morning, Futurist Jim Carroll will have his winter tires swapped out. He’s preparing for a future that involves warmer weather.
"Compassion can outshine the chaos!" - Futurist Jim Carroll
Every day, I start with my image and quote, and then write my post. Today, I started with this image and quote:
“Grant me the ability to avoid the stress, rage & anxiety over things I cannot control, the courage to change the things I can, & the wisdom to know the difference!”
Then I noticed that what I wrote about - leadership empathy - had nothing to do with the original quote! So I changed it! I still like this version of the Serenity Prayer though!
Anyways ... to my original point. Have you noticed that a lot of people seem to be asking one another, pretty regularly: "How are you doing with all this stuff?" I need not explain the "stuff" - suffice it to say, there's volatility, upheaval, uncertainty, disruption, polarization, confusion, destabilization, turmoil, chaos - all of which is quite dystopian.
Aside from providing you with a comprehensive list of disquieting nouns, the fact is a lot of people are feeling discomfort, but are also expressing concern about those around them. At least the ones who have a soul left within their inner core.
Look, I'm from the old school that believes that human kindness is an important personal trait - perhaps one of the most important. I also know that in this current male-machismo-driven world of rage and revenge, there are simply some folks who will never understand that. I don't have any expectations that folks like that follow my writings here.
But maybe the rest of us can work on it a bit more. After all, it matters. Lots of folks might have been having a rough day, and a little expression of empathy can go a long way.
How can we do that? Here are the key elements of what is known as 'leadership empathy', and how to practice them! .... read the full post.
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Futurist Jim Carroll would like to hear how you are doing. He might be able to offer up a comforting thought or two.
"You can always find hope for the future by carefully examining the opportunities it is always showing you. (Just remember to always keep looking!)" - Futurist Jim Carroll
The most popular post on my Website has to do with the 'growth of knowledge.', from my 2023 trends series.
In it, I lay out the basic statistics and observations having to do with that trend - but also outline what it means. In simple terms:
"It used to be about what you know. Now it’s not only about what you know, but how fast you need to know it!"
I also make note of this observation:
"The volume of medical knowledge was doubling every 8 years before Covid; it’s now doubling every 78 days."
Fast forward - things are moving even faster still. No one in any career knows everything they need to know - our ability to get the right knowledge at the right time - what I call just-in-time knowledge - is one of the most important career skills need to continually develop and enhance.
With that thought in mind, I was taking a look at the current widespread destruction of the future all around us - science shutting down, valuable research programs being decimated, and careers and jobs being destroyed with reckless abandonment. There is a chainsaw being taken to the future, and its destructive damage is yet to be determined. In the context of such a crazy world, how do those of us who want to ensure we have hope for tomorrow continue to sustain that hope, feed it, and nurture it? By keeping an eye on the good things that are out there and that might somehow survive!
This brings me to how I am using my relentless study of the trends of tomorrow to sustain my hope for tomorrow, albeit while doing so in the era of the information flood. To do that, I'm turning to, of course, AI. Here's a good example: for years, I've subscribed to many different trend newsletters, each of which is carefully filtered and goes into a folder in my email account. I try to get to them when I can, but I often fall behind. One I track is Ground Truths by Eric Topol - it's a great, fairly regular update on important trends in healthcare science. Searching for some hope for the future of medicine and healthcare the other day, I took a look and realized I had 194 long messages from him about these issues- far too many to read! Google Notebook LLM to the rescue! I took them all, worked them into a PDF, and 'fed it to the machine.,' With a few iterations, I got back the summary below - a nice, tidy, short, and concise overview of some of the key trends he has been talking about, and why this matters for our future.
Far easier to digest, scan, and read - and provide me a short, sharp shock of hope!
This brings me back to the main point of today's post - in the face of volatile turmoil, we need to feed and further our hope for the future.
How we do this doesn't matter - the mechanics are quite irreverent, but use the tools if you can. I am!
You can always find hope for the future by carefully examining the opportunities it is always showing you.
"Are you a maestro of mediocrity, a virtuoso of the vague, a champion of the commonplace, a genius of the generic, an architect of the average, a titan of the trivial, a sovereign of the standard, or perhaps a wizard of the wonderfully ordinary?" - Futurist Jim Carroll
I'm having a lot of fun with my new book, and the initial reactions from the folks who have bought it have found it to be inspiring, albeit in a roundabout way! After all, it identifies the things we should NOT be doing to move forward, and yet, we can find many of those behaviors that we are guilty of.
One of my biggest thrills came when the technical product lead for the world's largest mobile-robotic fleet at Amazon - 750,000+ robots! - had a short post about the book.
I need YOU to buy the book though - you are reading my Daily Inspiration post every day, so why not move to the next step and offer up a little bit of support? You can do that right now via the book Website at https://mediocrity.jimcarroll.com. Spend a moment to grab a copy, and then come back and learn a bit more about how you might use its anti-inspirational guidance - and bring a smile to my face!
With that in mind, I'm also thrilled to note that we've moved to the next stage of the follow-up companion sequel Escaping Mediocrity, and have just about finalized the text content. The next step is to generate the images and format the book; the cover is already complete and ready to go.
We might be about a month out from delivery.
The key to the Escaping Mediocrity book is figuring out how to use it, and that's why I note in the Foreword that it's a teambuilding book! When I wrote it, my goal was to shine a light on the all too comfortable habits that secretly sabotage our potential. Once I started pulling it together, I realized that it would be perfect for team-building exercises at corporate events! After all, it can be used as a humorous tool to make what could be uncomfortable conversations both productive and enjoyable.
Think about it - by playfully examining mediocrity together, your team can develop stronger awareness and create practical strategies for excellence without pointing fingers.
Here are some thoughts on how to deploy Embracing Mediocrity within your team -- read the full post for more!
Remember, you can grab a copy of Embracing Mediocrity right now - just visit the main Website for the book - at https://mediocrity.jimcarroll.com
Bonus for Canadians - buy it directly from me, and not only will I scribble in your custom message and sign it - but you will know that you are supporting a Canadian printer! I have a wonderful fellow in Burlington, Ontario, who did a bulk print run for me!
I look forward to your order!
Futurist Jim Carroll believes that by it is by examining the mediocre behaviors that define us we can best figure out how to escape from them.
Single user Mastodon #selfhostOnline since '82 - BBS, Source, Compuserve, BIX, WELL, Usenet, uucpWrote 34 books in 90s on 'Net/tech; 3 radio shows, news columns, mags, etc----30 yrs on global stages speaking on disruptive trends, innovation, creativity, future. Represented by Harry Walker Agency, Washington Speakers, BigSpeak etc. Clients like NASA, PGA, Pfizer tfrLinux / PI / OS/xTesla guy. Love the car, hatethe guyGuelph, Canada! 13 HCPSober 6/26/16