myrmepropagandist (futurebird@sauropods.win)'s status on Friday, 22-Nov-2024 21:23:27 JST

@rysiek

Part of the reason conditional probability and probability more generally are confusing is that it insists on living on the margin of human language expressed in words and sentences and mathematical representations of that language.

And our language simply IS NOT precise when talking about cause, effect, probability, dependence and a whole host of topics. It's a big mess.