I think the moon landing is 50/50. There was a time crunch, Kennedy promised a lot, the Van Allen belt is toxic, a lot of early videos were lost and the logistics seem technologically impossible. Even though Artemis is more ambition, they still have trouble with some of the most basic challenges.

Yet there is so much detail that would be difficult to just make up. The reports of ultra-fine particles eroding at the space suits. The way the astronauts constantly lost their balance because they trained with an entirely different center of gravity. Van Allen himself saying the belt can be navigated through.

I don't think people are stupid for believe it's fake. I don't think people are stupid for believing it's real. Ultimately it probably doesn't matter. Artemis will ultimately be a multi-billion dollar failure and if we have been there, I doubt we'll ever return.