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@freemo I don’t have an estimate within reach of the shipments carrying green techware, but my working assumption is that that number (in steady conditions) may be at least 1-2 orders of magnitude lower than oil/gas tankers.

After they’ve been built, you need to replace a solar panel or a wind turbine after about 2-3 decades of operation, while you need a continuous supply of oil or gas to burn in order to produce energy.

The only trade that is likely to increase is probably that of lithium and cobalt, as energy storage becomes a more widespread practice, but again the lifespan of a high density battery is much, much longer than that of a barrel of oil.