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    Daniel Keys Moran (fatsam@mstdn.social)'s status on Monday, 11-Nov-2024 14:14:29 JSTDaniel Keys MoranDaniel Keys Moran

    No, there's nothing shocking about this.

    I stopped talking about polling to people. The idea that professional mathematicians were lost and unable to deal with demographic changes was important to them. Who am I to fuck with your delusions?

    But the polling in 2016 said Trump had about a one in three chance of winning.

    The polling in 2020 had him about 1 in 10.

    This time it was even money.

    In conversationabout 9 months ago from mstdn.socialpermalink
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