Daniel Keys Moran
No, there's nothing shocking about this.
I stopped talking about polling to people. The idea that professional mathematicians were lost and unable to deal with demographic changes was important to them. Who am I to fuck with your delusions?
But the polling in 2016 said Trump had about a one in three chance of winning.
The polling in 2020 had him about 1 in 10.
This time it was even money.
Daniel Keys Moran
It's too late, and I don't even know really that I should post this. But perhaps going forward someone will find it of use.
Though perhaps not in any political context. I suspect we've had our last even partially honest federal election. The fascists will tighten down on who's allowed to vote, one person one vote is basically dead, states will be further gerrymandered and our current fascist SCOTUS is not likely to have any problem with state governments deciding ...
Daniel Keys Moran
I read post after post in the weeks leading up to the election, from people who were convinced that Kamala had to win.
It's not what the numbers said.
If I believe in anything I believe in measurement. Getting the numbers is the only thing, the only way, to protect yourself from the randomness of the universe. Once you let go of that, all you have is your desires telling you what the world is.
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