I'm not cherry picking anything.
A group going from 10% Trump support to 20% Trump support, is still not supporting Trump. It's still less than 50%.
This isn't a complicated concept to understand.
If every group supports Harris by more than 50%, but one group supports Trump by more than 50%, and Trump wins, then it is because of the one group that supports Trump by more than 50%. Trump could not win without it.
That one group is white voters.
Half of Hispanic voters, are white.