No, it's not scapegoat -y.
And the "only the women without a college degree!" cope is silly, because most white women don't have a college degree. That's like saying "Only right handed women!"
And the "trending down vs trending up" cope is extra silly, because trending down from 85% to 80% is still a massive vote against Trump, and trending up from 40% to 45% non-Trump is still a vote for Trump.