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    NBS (nbs@noauthority.social)'s status on Wednesday, 30-Oct-2024 08:52:05 JSTNBSNBS

    Can’t believe I’m saying this, but Kamala is getting to levels worth betting on in Polymarket odds.

    She now sits at a 33.3% chance (MAGIC NUMBER) to win the presidency. This spread should absolutely tighten up into the election, and I’m pretty close to buying Kamala as a short term trade. Might wait for 30%, but at some point this spread must tighten (election night perhaps when one or two upset states get announced?).

    30% feels a bit too cheap going into the election.

    In conversationabout 7 months ago from noauthority.socialpermalink

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