For 2024, NOAA predicts a very high likelihood (85% chance) of an above-normal Atlantic hurricane season, with -
17-25 named storms (average is 14)
8-13 hurricanes (average is 7)
4-7 major hurricanes (average is 3)
The primary drivers -
1. La Niña caused reduction in wind shear over the Atlantic Basin
2. Above normal sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic region
3. Stronger West African Monsoon
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/how-does-noaa-see-2024-atlantic-hurricane-season-shaping
https://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/outlooks/hurricane.shtml
#Beryl #Hurrricane
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