@BlackAzizAnansi
Ignore #polls as much as you can.
I got out the vote in the past several elections before 2016. In 2016 I saw polls saying things like it was 98% certain Clinton would win. For the first time in years, I decided not to go help because of that.
That was a mistake.
Polls did actually used to be somewhat meaningful and predictive but that stopped being true sometime before 2016. I missed that change.