@jramskov I say at least as much but because of the Jevons paradox we'll almost certainly end up consuming more energy because of EVs, since people think "Oh my car doesn't pollute anymore so I can just drive as much as I want."
This whole idea that we can somehow deal with climate change without changing our lifestyles, in fact by consuming even more, is a pretty brilliant piece of propaganda that's quite a bit more powerful than any of the various "climate change is a hoax" conspiracy claims.