Yes, at a minimum 90% of them can go out of state because interstate travel is lawful in the US. That fact loses some meaning when one’s state can & does aggressively pursue information that would allow it to prosecute abortion-seekers for murder.
Agree, we know for a fact the number is at a minimum 10% to high and at most quite a bit more off.
My main point is you’re doing a lot of work to cast doubt on that number, by making some suspiciously libertarian-sounding arguments about freedome of choice.
The what now… it is an objective fact that some portion of that estimate will go out of state. How is an objectively true fact a “libertarian sounding argument”. What would be a libertarian sounding argument would be if i said “This isnt a civil rights injustice because people can just go out of state, problem solved”. Thats not what I said though. I said the numbers were wrong, I stated why its wrong, I was objectively correct. Thats not a “libertarian sounding argument” that is what we call “Data Science sounding argument”. Its the argument anyone objectively assessing the accuracy of the numbers would make, regardless of your political standing.