@HistoPol @TimMaddog @empathroet @TheEconomist America used Taiwan from day one (spring 1950, when Truman sent the 7th fleet, and denied PR China the seat in the UN security council) as tool against PR China.
That's why there can't be an "independent" Taiwan. It would always just be a tool of US aggression.
The 2019 Hong Kong riots made clear that China can't tolerate tycoon systems at its borders, and that means Taiwan will get a similar "patriotism" selection system sooner or later.