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    Aral Balkan (aral@mastodon.ar.al)'s status on Tuesday, 28-Nov-2023 20:53:30 JSTAral BalkanAral Balkan

    So let’s do some math:

    Israel’s military estimates that out of the 13,000 or so Palestinians it has killed in seven weeks, 1,000-2,000 of them are Hamas fighters.

    They estimate about 30,000 Hamas fighters in total and their stated goal is to wipe out Hamas entirely.

    Given the current ratio of deaths, how many Palestinians will they have to kill to wipe out Hamas?

    Answer: 195,000 - 390,000

    (But don’t call it a genocide.)

    Figures: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/26/idf-messaging-suggests-gaza-truce-unlikely-to-last-much-beyond-tuesday

    #israel #palestine #gaza #genocide

    In conversationTuesday, 28-Nov-2023 20:53:30 JST from mastodon.ar.alpermalink

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    1. Domain not in remote thumbnail source whitelist: i.guim.co.uk
      IDF messaging suggests Gaza truce unlikely to last much beyond Tuesday
      from https://www.theguardian.com/profile/dan-sabbagh
      Many expect pause to be extended if more hostages are released, but experts predict military campaign could run into next year
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