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- Embed this noticeerhm... there was a day very early in the outbreak when the rate was a few infections per day, before it spread and grew. it depends on how far back you go. I still recall the dread with which I heard of the first few cases in Brazil, then the first deaths in Brazil. it was no different elsewhere, except people weren't watching it as closely yet when it got to some other places. but it did go through a phase in which there were fewer infections per day than we have now, and there were times when they were much higher, therefore there was a time when they were about the same as today. and who are we to say that that wasn't just the time when someone started paying attention to it, and so refers to it as "the initial outbreak"?