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- Embed this noticethe most convincing reason for me to conclude that Russia was provoked and, really, forced into action is the amount of predictable negative consequences onto itself. setting aside the narratives that attempt to qualify putin as dumb or mad, the explanation of why he'd undertake such actions is that the perceived consequences of the alternatives were even worse. that, in turn, suggests a master plan designed by someone else to bring about just that reaction and its expected consequences. you just have to follow the trail to cui bono for the most reasonable guess of whose master plan it was, unless you'd believe that they're so incredibly lucky.
as for pursuing autonomy, surely strengthening the organization through which the US keeps all these countries dependent is a step in the wrong direction. but I won't pretend I can beat US's strategists. I don't see a solution for this problem.