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Been thinking a bit about Bluesky vs Fediverse lately. We'll see if it coalesces into anything substantial.

In short: I don't think the Fediverse competes with Bluesky, and I don't think Bluesky is going to be federated at any point (for the same reason why Reddit never federated).

They have different basic assumption and modes of interaction.

I also don't think the Fediverse is going to become a global hegemonic system any time soon. It'll keep doing well on the margins though.