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   Ghislaine :dancing_z: (ghislaine@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 03-Mar-2026 08:49:49 JST Ghislaine :dancing_z:
   Tail wagging the dog :israel_burn:
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     Wolffkran (wolffkran@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 03-Mar-2026 08:49:44 JST Wolffkran

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     • Ame
     @Ghislaine @AmericanChampion
     Johnny Peligro likes this.
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     Ame (americanchampion@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 03-Mar-2026 08:49:45 JST Ame

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     @Ghislaine They're denying the attacks on Saudi oil fields, IIRC, and they've been good about keeping things in reserve so far. A lot of people have predicted that Iran was out of missiles only to be proven wrong six hours later, for instance.
     
     I think they'd reward a lack of escalation. Not saying they're geniuses, but their responses have had that kind of calculus so far. We'd be seeing less damage to American assets than we currently see.
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     Ghislaine :dancing_z: (ghislaine@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 03-Mar-2026 08:49:45 JST Ghislaine :dancing_z:

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     • Ame
     @AmericanChampion they are shooting missiles at civilian targets in uninvolved countries seemingly at random and blowing up 5 star hotels
     Johnny Peligro and Hoss Delgado repeated this.
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     Ame (americanchampion@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 03-Mar-2026 08:49:46 JST Ame

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     @Ghislaine I think that's fairly tortured logic, at its best. Supposing a miracle had happened and America had left Israel high and dry, I think Iran would've held off on targeting American assets.
     
     Even so, if the best justification for attacking a country is that it might've lashed out if our millstone of an 'ally' attacked it, the smart call is to cut Israel loose rather than to bail them out. The fact that the administration is down to stuff like this indicates that pretty much everyone knows it was a bad idea, which is a good sign.
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     Ghislaine :dancing_z: (ghislaine@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 03-Mar-2026 08:49:46 JST Ghislaine :dancing_z:

     in reply to

     • Ame
     @AmericanChampion they attacked the British and french every Arabian country, Iraq, syria. I think if the Israelites did a decapitation strike like we apparently knew they were going to, Iran was probably going to strike at us as part of the temu Samson option
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     Ame (americanchampion@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 03-Mar-2026 08:49:47 JST Ame

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     @Ghislaine IIRC it was Israel attacks Iran -> US attacks Iran -> Iran attacks regional US bases and Israel. I don't think they had any option that would've avoided these attacks.
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     Ghislaine :dancing_z: (ghislaine@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 03-Mar-2026 08:49:47 JST Ghislaine :dancing_z:

     in reply to

     • Ame
     @AmericanChampion Yeah I mean if it was going to be Israel attacks Iran -> Iran bombs the shit out of everyone including us, they made it rational to attack them just to prevent damage
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     Ame (americanchampion@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 03-Mar-2026 08:49:48 JST Ame

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     @Ghislaine Definitely not projecting confidence here. "Not Marco Rubio" seems like a safe bet for 2028 POTUS.
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     Ghislaine :dancing_z: (ghislaine@poa.st)'s status on Tuesday, 03-Mar-2026 08:49:48 JST Ghislaine :dancing_z:

     in reply to

     • Ame
     @AmericanChampion honestly seems like Iran’s policy of just shoot everybody bit them here. sounds like it gave Israel a way to make Iran definitely shoot at America and drag us into a preemptive strike.